weatherbeats

BTC Halving Cycle Top Analysis 2021 - 2022

BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar
Here is my unbiased analysis of when the cycle top for the current bull market may peak. Keep in mind I am by no means an expert. The cycle analysis is also a prediction of the dates that this BTC bull run may end. (Not a price prediction) I'm interested to see others opinions on this analysis. Why is it correct or incorrect?

The basic idea in this analysis is that the 2017 bull market lasted roughly 1.44 times longer than the 2013 bull run. By this logic we can project out and assume that the current bull market will last 1.44 times the Length of the 2017 bull run.

2013 - 366 days until cycle top measured from Halvening
2017 - 526 days until cycle top measured from Halvening
2021 (2022) - 757 days until cycle top measured from Halvening

(Disclaimer - Please use risk management. No ones estimates of the cycle tops are accurate. They are all educated guesses however some may be lucky enough to be accurate)
Comment: This analysis is on a Logarithmic chart view