May 17 bear flag forming. 3 different scenarios on my chart.

If manipulation wasn't a factor, I think this is pretty solid forecast for Bitcoin to 7850ish, then take off. 3 different scenarios here. 1. Which TA is showing, btc is forming a bear flag and were are completing wave 5 to a ABC down to 8k, then 7850ish. 2. We break up and slowly climb back up to 10k. 3. We enter consolidation zone for a while, make some fat cash on ALTs, then break up. What do you think?