Bitcoin BTC Up to 34000 then down again. HS formations! Analysis
Dear friends,
Here is an update of Bitcoin on the 2 hour chart.
Be sure to check out my previous analysis as this one is an addendum to the previous one that is still valid.
Bitcoin has fallen through the neckline of the HS formation (orange) and has successfully re-tested this line.
The second HS formation (green) is also valid and the price has already fallen through that neckline. I expect a re-test of that neckline at 33800-34000.
Maybe BTC don't even have the force to go that high as volume decreases while price increases. That is always bearish!
After the (possible) re-test, the following targets come into the picture.
30350, 28800, 27655 and possibly 26771.
Should Bitcoin rise above the red triangle trendline than that is a bullish sign but still not enough. We clearly need higher highs and higher lows to change the trend! I do not expect it however but you never know with the heavy manipulation of the markets.
Nothing is 100% sure in TA but this seems very likely.
Please share your thoughts and idea's below dear friends. What do you think and why do you think it with or without a chart.
I wish you all good luck with trading!
Disclaimer Traders this is my view, no advice to buy or sell. Also always do your own research!
--->> Traders please follow me for updates and give me support with a like 👍 if you like me to continue this work. Thanks 💚
Here is an update of Bitcoin on the 2 hour chart.
Be sure to check out my previous analysis as this one is an addendum to the previous one that is still valid.
Bitcoin has fallen through the neckline of the HS formation (orange) and has successfully re-tested this line.
The second HS formation (green) is also valid and the price has already fallen through that neckline. I expect a re-test of that neckline at 33800-34000.
Maybe BTC don't even have the force to go that high as volume decreases while price increases. That is always bearish!
After the (possible) re-test, the following targets come into the picture.
30350, 28800, 27655 and possibly 26771.
Should Bitcoin rise above the red triangle trendline than that is a bullish sign but still not enough. We clearly need higher highs and higher lows to change the trend! I do not expect it however but you never know with the heavy manipulation of the markets.
Nothing is 100% sure in TA but this seems very likely.
Please share your thoughts and idea's below dear friends. What do you think and why do you think it with or without a chart.
I wish you all good luck with trading!
Disclaimer Traders this is my view, no advice to buy or sell. Also always do your own research!
--->> Traders please follow me for updates and give me support with a like 👍 if you like me to continue this work. Thanks 💚
Comment:
Important
Dear Friends,
Currently Bitcoin is still perfectly following the purple Rising wedge Beearflag. I expect it to break out downwards but only when the international markets reopen.
If Bitcoin break upwards then that looks to me like yet another bulltrap! So beware of it because it happened several times and BTC is famous for it.
When is it safe to go long? For that we first need to set a higher high and and higher low. So first of all above 35200. But then we need to set another higher low.
In short.
+34500 is a bullish signal but not to go long.
+36000 is a clear improvement.
+36800 The trend has reversed, after a re-test of 36800 Long positions are indicated but with a target of max 41-42000 USD.
I don't expect BTC to go above +36800 and not even +36000 but if so we will follow charts.
Why I don't expect it is because of the clear technical picture. The volume which is very low. There is absolutely no drive to be seen that people want to go full long. If there is a breakout upwards then as we have seen before it will come from a whale or large fund to manipulate again.
Above 36800 with the close of at least a 4 hour candle is the signal and would mean we are heading towards 41000 /42000 again but unfortunately another huge resistance awaits there. Only above the trading range and after a pullback to retest it, the picture has changed completely to bullish and we can at least go to the old top. So step by step see what happens and don't act sooner or let yourself be lured into a trap is the message here.
Happy trading dear friends and succes!
Dear Friends,
Currently Bitcoin is still perfectly following the purple Rising wedge Beearflag. I expect it to break out downwards but only when the international markets reopen.
If Bitcoin break upwards then that looks to me like yet another bulltrap! So beware of it because it happened several times and BTC is famous for it.
When is it safe to go long? For that we first need to set a higher high and and higher low. So first of all above 35200. But then we need to set another higher low.
In short.
+34500 is a bullish signal but not to go long.
+36000 is a clear improvement.
+36800 The trend has reversed, after a re-test of 36800 Long positions are indicated but with a target of max 41-42000 USD.
I don't expect BTC to go above +36800 and not even +36000 but if so we will follow charts.
Why I don't expect it is because of the clear technical picture. The volume which is very low. There is absolutely no drive to be seen that people want to go full long. If there is a breakout upwards then as we have seen before it will come from a whale or large fund to manipulate again.
Above 36800 with the close of at least a 4 hour candle is the signal and would mean we are heading towards 41000 /42000 again but unfortunately another huge resistance awaits there. Only above the trading range and after a pullback to retest it, the picture has changed completely to bullish and we can at least go to the old top. So step by step see what happens and don't act sooner or let yourself be lured into a trap is the message here.
Happy trading dear friends and succes!
Trade active:
UPDATE
Dear friends,
I do not expect it but possible the price can still rise to a maximum of 34500 till 35200 usd. That does noet change the bearish picture at all and all the levels remain exactly the same.
The volume has decreased again in the last rise so that is another bearish signal. All patterns are also still perfectly valid.
Patience, patience, patience ;-)
Tonight or tomorrow will bring clarity in my opinion.
See you later friends!
Dear friends,
I do not expect it but possible the price can still rise to a maximum of 34500 till 35200 usd. That does noet change the bearish picture at all and all the levels remain exactly the same.
The volume has decreased again in the last rise so that is another bearish signal. All patterns are also still perfectly valid.
Patience, patience, patience ;-)
Tonight or tomorrow will bring clarity in my opinion.
See you later friends!
Comment:
Update
Dear Friends,
Bitcoin has already formed another bearish rising wedge. I think this time it is going down a little faster because of the price movements that were getting smaller and smaller. The volume is also ultra low so a rise has little support. The Rsi is not cooperating either.
As I wrote earlier, a big move is coming and most likely not upwards.
Here is also a chart showing a possible trajectory. Bitcoin should show movement but whether it happens right away we will have to wait and see. The chart here is how it could go and not a guarantee. The market is dynamic and if Bitcoin starts to rise again we will adjust the strategy as exactly described with the levels in the previous analyses still perfectly valid at this time!
We will follow the chart and take it step by step without long term predictions which won't help you at this point anyway.
Good luck and don't forget the stops dear friends!
Dear Friends,
Bitcoin has already formed another bearish rising wedge. I think this time it is going down a little faster because of the price movements that were getting smaller and smaller. The volume is also ultra low so a rise has little support. The Rsi is not cooperating either.
As I wrote earlier, a big move is coming and most likely not upwards.
Here is also a chart showing a possible trajectory. Bitcoin should show movement but whether it happens right away we will have to wait and see. The chart here is how it could go and not a guarantee. The market is dynamic and if Bitcoin starts to rise again we will adjust the strategy as exactly described with the levels in the previous analyses still perfectly valid at this time!
We will follow the chart and take it step by step without long term predictions which won't help you at this point anyway.
Good luck and don't forget the stops dear friends!
Comment:
All patterns still valid and doing their job.
Trade active:
Bitcoin has formed a new minor bearflag and is now testing its lower trendline. The HS formation has not yet been broken at this time. Volume is bearish due to drop in volume when price rises and vice versa. See the red arrows in the chart and compare it to the price above it.
The overall picture of Bitcoin looks very bearish but we have seen that in the other charts I have posted.
My previous analyses with various larger head shoulder formations are all still valid!
Good luck dear friends
The overall picture of Bitcoin looks very bearish but we have seen that in the other charts I have posted.
My previous analyses with various larger head shoulder formations are all still valid!
Good luck dear friends
Comment:
Update
Yes indeed, again a new small bearish rising wedge. We have now 3 of them and we see also 2 extra HS fromations besides the 3 from my previous analyse! The 3 bigger also valid.
First targets in this chart 32226 - 31512 - 30492. + Targets from previous posts.
Good luck dear friends!
Yes indeed, again a new small bearish rising wedge. We have now 3 of them and we see also 2 extra HS fromations besides the 3 from my previous analyse! The 3 bigger also valid.
First targets in this chart 32226 - 31512 - 30492. + Targets from previous posts.
Good luck dear friends!
Comment:
Target 1 has been met and target 2 has been met! and now on to target 3!
Good day dear friends!
The Last HS formations are slightly redrawn and still perfectly valid. Just like the 3 major HS formations from my previous analyses.
Bitcoin is still in a downward trend channel. The neckline of the blue HS has already been retested, that of the orange could possibly be re-tested as well.
I expect a further decline and only at 33400 where the new stoploss lies will things improve.
Good luck and always trade with a stop loss.
Good day dear friends!
The Last HS formations are slightly redrawn and still perfectly valid. Just like the 3 major HS formations from my previous analyses.
Bitcoin is still in a downward trend channel. The neckline of the blue HS has already been retested, that of the orange could possibly be re-tested as well.
I expect a further decline and only at 33400 where the new stoploss lies will things improve.
Good luck and always trade with a stop loss.
Comment:
New bearish rising wedge.
Good afternoon dear friends!
Please look at the chart.
Bitcoin formed a bearish rising wedge. IT is also at the point for the re-tests of the neckline again. BTC moves in the downward trendchannel.
A break above the red trendline will probably trigger a move to the upper side of the green channel. If it bounce on the red trendline which is the expected move it will continue to decline.
Wish you succes and profits!
Good afternoon dear friends!
Please look at the chart.
Bitcoin formed a bearish rising wedge. IT is also at the point for the re-tests of the neckline again. BTC moves in the downward trendchannel.
A break above the red trendline will probably trigger a move to the upper side of the green channel. If it bounce on the red trendline which is the expected move it will continue to decline.
Wish you succes and profits!
Comment:
Diamond/ Inv HS
Goodevening dear friends!
A small update here from Bitcoin
We see a small Inverted HS and a Diamond topping pattern.
Watch out for the breakout. The bigger HS formations are still in play from my previous analysis.
If green trendline is broken target we see probably the top of the channel in green.
But look at the volume! No volume = no valid move!
Keep an eye on the levels and wish you succes dear friends!
Goodevening dear friends!
A small update here from Bitcoin
We see a small Inverted HS and a Diamond topping pattern.
Watch out for the breakout. The bigger HS formations are still in play from my previous analysis.
If green trendline is broken target we see probably the top of the channel in green.
But look at the volume! No volume = no valid move!
Keep an eye on the levels and wish you succes dear friends!
Trade active:
The downward trend continues.
As you all know from the analyses, I have no doubt about the direction of BTC, it is still short.
Very first target is of course the low of last time at 28800 and there you can expect a rebound of the price but now the target of 25000 is fast approaching. Catching a falling knife can result in a big loss. Before going long you need confirmation.
Good luck with trading dear friends!
As you all know from the analyses, I have no doubt about the direction of BTC, it is still short.
Very first target is of course the low of last time at 28800 and there you can expect a rebound of the price but now the target of 25000 is fast approaching. Catching a falling knife can result in a big loss. Before going long you need confirmation.
Good luck with trading dear friends!
Comment:
Important!
Dear friends,
We see Bitcoin made a bearish wedge and also a expanding triangle. I think the expanding triangle could transform to a diamond pattern but it is still very premature to say. It will be more clear with time.
If Bitcoin break the trendchannel that could be a warning but to change the downtrend we need to look at the 4 hour chart and the last high need to be taken out = 33300. After that there need to be a higher low and that would be the signal to go long. That lower low can be confirmed with a bullish 4 hour candlestick, a double bottom and so on. I do not expect it but only price will tell.
Succes with trading!
Dear friends,
We see Bitcoin made a bearish wedge and also a expanding triangle. I think the expanding triangle could transform to a diamond pattern but it is still very premature to say. It will be more clear with time.
If Bitcoin break the trendchannel that could be a warning but to change the downtrend we need to look at the 4 hour chart and the last high need to be taken out = 33300. After that there need to be a higher low and that would be the signal to go long. That lower low can be confirmed with a bullish 4 hour candlestick, a double bottom and so on. I do not expect it but only price will tell.
Succes with trading!
Comment:
Dear friends,
We continue the uodates now on the newest post.
We continue the uodates now on the newest post.
A zoomed-in view.
An Important point is highlighted.