***THIS IS A PERSONAL IDEA, DYOR***
Could this be a Rounding Top pattern???
Note: Bulkowski describes the "Rounding Top" pattern in his Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns, page 608, as an upward breakout, indicating: "As prices move up, they curve around then break upward". He also mentions a downward trend as a sign of this pattern.
This shows BitCoin $BTC describing a move that starts at the last days of January 2021 with higher highs (HH) that describe a curved geometry, rounded on the top. Inversely is doing the opposite to price and also shows decrease in (see Bulkowski note above). Between march 25th and april 21st Divergence indicator signals a div on the Volume-weighted (VWMACD) and ( CMF ) (see the yellow tag). This divergence is not clearly corrected yet.
I'm speculating on 2 possible ideas:
The first one is based on a possible ascending trendline starting from mid December LL making a second touch on end of January's LL and that could be confirmed if price action bounces off for a third touch when hitting the 50K and if it fails to break down. This could start an uptrend to +78K in short term for Measured Move A.
The second one is based on the chance that if price action breaks below the 50K all the way down to the 45K we might see an even bigger uptrend, all the way to the +90K level in mid term for Measured Move B.
Let's remember that the weekly 21EMA sits at 45K atm.
outcomes can be possible. We've heard people talk about a different scenario playing out if price action breaks the 21 weekly marking the end of Bitcoins bullrun.
Let's see what plays out...
As always DYOR.
Now we have the opposite question - whether 30k is the bottom.