What you need to keep in order to change the trend is...
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(USDT 1D chart)
I need to see if I can keep it at 66.442B or higher.
(USDC 1D chart)
A move out of 44.07B-44.807B came out.
We need to see if it can rise above 44.07B.
The rise in the gap between USDT and USDC is considered to be a sign of new funds entering the coin market.
(BTC.D 1D chart)
An increase in BTC dominance means that funds will be concentrated towards BTC.
The next period of volatility is around the 23rd of January.
(USDT.D 1D chart)
An increase in USDT dominance means that the coin market is likely to decline.
We need to see if it can drop below 7.27.
The rise in BTC dominance shows that BTC is leading the coin market.
At the same time, the decline in USDT dominance has increased the possibility that the entire coin market will show an upward trend.
USDT dominance previously failed to fall below 7.86 and rose, showing a trend that did not break through 17.8K.
We need to see if we can get resistance this time at 7.86 and drop below 7.27.
We believe that BTC dominance should rise above 43.75 at least for the coin market to show a solid (liquidity) uptrend.
However, if it starts to rise above 45.68, be careful as there is a possibility that BTC will continue to rise alone or the coin market will face a downward trend again.
As an individual investor, it is not easy to trade while constantly observing all these charts, i.e. USDT, USDC, BTC.D, USDT.D.
Therefore, you only need to look at the chart that suits your situation once.
USDT.D Chart
- A chart that shows whether the coin market will rise or fall
- If USDT dominance rises, the coin market is likely to fall
- If USDT dominance declines, the coin market is likely to rise
- Disadvantages: Since it shows the overall flow of the coin market, there is a possibility that only the movement of BTC and ETH will be shown rather than the movement of a specific coin (token).
BTC.D Chart
- A chart that shows where the money in the coin market is concentrated
- When BTC dominance rises, it means that funds are concentrated towards BTC
- When BTC dominance declines, it means that funds are concentrated towards altcoins
- Disadvantage: Since you can know the flow of funds, you cannot know the movement of the coin (token) price.
Therefore, to compensate for these shortcomings, you should look at the BTC.D and USDT.D charts together.
USDT chart
- A chart that shows the overall fund status of the coin market
- When the gap rises, it means that funds have entered the coin market.
- When a gap decline occurs, it means that funds are withdrawn from the coin market.
USDC Chart
- A chart that shows the investment status of US investment products, that is, investment products such as ETFs
- This means that the investment environment for investment products is improving when the gap rises.
It is believed that this improved investment environment will serve as a bridge for inflow of funds into the coin market.
In particular, I think it plays a decisive role in continuing the relationship with the index chart of the stock market.
I think that USDC's gap increase is more likely to show a flow that is coupled with the index chart of the stock market, and gap decline is more likely to show a decoupling flow.
Activation of investment products will make it easy for investment institutions to enter the coin market, which will serve as an opportunity for the coin market to create a more transparent and sound investment environment.
However, as investment institutions enter the coin market, the opportunity for individual investors to earn large profits will decrease.
---------------------------------------
(BTCUSDTPERP 1D Chart)
The chart above is displayed to see the overall flow.
It is showing an upward trend by breaking upward through the -100 indicator, HA-Low indicator, and HA-High indicator.
It can be seen that since the beginning of this movement, on the 27th of November, there has been a new trend from the downtrend line to sideways.
However, it was after December 15th that I became aware of these movements.
It was found that it had switched to a new flow as it moved sideways in the section consisting of -100, HA-Low, and HA-High.
On January 12, the -100 indicator rose from a step decline, providing a clear indication that the strength of the uptrend is growing.
However, as a prerequisite for an upward trend, the price must be maintained by rising above HA-Low or above MS-Signal.
Therefore, in order to turn into an upward trend from a mid- to long-term perspective, it must rise above the M-Signal on the 1W chart.
(HA-Low point on 1W chart: 17864.7)
This interpretation gives us an idea of why the stock is currently stopped at its current price level.
The -100 and +100 indicators are created using the CCI formula.
Thus, a rise above the -100 indicator indicates that the trend has turned sideways from a downtrend.
This sideways range is between -100 and +100.
Therefore, it means that the price needs to rise above 38326.8 to complete the sideways consolidation and revert to an uptrend.
It is almost impossible for the real price to spike and rise above 38326.8, so we have to wiggle the price up and down to create a drop in +100 indicator.
When that happens, if the price holds above the point where the +100 indicator was created, it can be interpreted that the possibility of reversing into an uptrend has increased.
Currently, the volume profile section of the 1M chart is forming at 19411.7.
Therefore, when the price holds above 19411.7, a +100 indicator will be generated, which will make the uptrend more likely.
In order to continue the upward trend from a mid- to long-term perspective, the price must be maintained by rising above the HA-High indicator.
However, since the HA-High indicator is formed at 59409.3, we need to shake it up and down just like the +100 indicator to make the HA-High indicator fall.
The fact that it has to be shaken up and down like this to make it fall means that there is a high possibility of great volatility in the future.
If not, and if it starts to move sideways at any interval, it is likely to have a fairly long sideways period.
Looking at this flow, you can see how large a trend change would be if the price held above 19411.7.
----------------------------------------------------
(1h chart)
If the price is maintained above the M-Signal line on the 1D chart and above 17108.7, the main position is 'LONG'.
Therefore, a quick response is required when entering the 'SHORT' position.
The 5EMA of the 1D chart and the M-Signal of the 1D chart, which are important parts of my trading strategy, are below, so it is currently unsuitable for trading.
For a minimum trade to be possible, MS-Signal must rise and show support or resistance.
These 3 indicators contribute significantly to position entry, as they are trend-indicating indicators.
In this sense, since the price is currently located near the M-Signal on the 1W chart, you should check whether it finds support or resistance.
It is recommended to enter 'L1' and 'LONG' positions when they show support around 19411.7.
1st selling point: around 20122.5
2nd: around 20853.8
End of trading: around 22471.5
Entry into 'S2' and 'SHORT' positions is possible when resistance is shown at 18741.7.
However, since the price is located above the M-Signal on the 1D chart, a quick response is required.
1st selling point: around 18369.8
Trade Closed: 17864.7-17935.7
It is recommended to close the trade if it touches the 5EMA line on the 1D chart and fails to decline.
Full-fledged 'SHORT' entry is when it shows resistance at 'S1', 17588.0.
-------------------------------------------
- big picture
I think you need to be supported in the 13K-15K section to get the power to rise.
Therefore, whether it is rising or falling from its current position, a short-term response is required.
A full-fledged uptrend is expected to start when it rises above 29K.
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** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** If you share this chart, you can use the indicators normally.
** The MRHAB-T indicator includes indicators that indicate points of support and resistance.
** SR_R_C indicators are displayed as StochRSI (line), RSI (columns), and CCI (bgcolor).
** The CCI indicator is displayed in the overbought section (CCI > +100) and oversold section (CCI < -100).
(Short-term Stop Loss can be said to be a point where profit or loss can be preserved or additional entry can be made by split trading. This is a short-term investment perspective.)
---------------------------------
Traders, welcome.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day.
-------------------------------------
(USDT 1D chart)
(USDC 1D chart)
We need to see if it can rise above 44.07B.
The rise in the gap between USDT and USDC is considered to be a sign of new funds entering the coin market.
(BTC.D 1D chart)
The next period of volatility is around the 23rd of January.
(USDT.D 1D chart)
We need to see if it can drop below 7.27.
The rise in BTC dominance shows that BTC is leading the coin market.
At the same time, the decline in USDT dominance has increased the possibility that the entire coin market will show an upward trend.
USDT dominance previously failed to fall below 7.86 and rose, showing a trend that did not break through 17.8K.
We need to see if we can get resistance this time at 7.86 and drop below 7.27.
We believe that BTC dominance should rise above 43.75 at least for the coin market to show a solid (liquidity) uptrend.
However, if it starts to rise above 45.68, be careful as there is a possibility that BTC will continue to rise alone or the coin market will face a downward trend again.
As an individual investor, it is not easy to trade while constantly observing all these charts, i.e. USDT, USDC, BTC.D, USDT.D.
Therefore, you only need to look at the chart that suits your situation once.
USDT.D Chart
- A chart that shows whether the coin market will rise or fall
- If USDT dominance rises, the coin market is likely to fall
- If USDT dominance declines, the coin market is likely to rise
- Disadvantages: Since it shows the overall flow of the coin market, there is a possibility that only the movement of BTC and ETH will be shown rather than the movement of a specific coin (token).
BTC.D Chart
- A chart that shows where the money in the coin market is concentrated
- When BTC dominance rises, it means that funds are concentrated towards BTC
- When BTC dominance declines, it means that funds are concentrated towards altcoins
- Disadvantage: Since you can know the flow of funds, you cannot know the movement of the coin (token) price.
Therefore, to compensate for these shortcomings, you should look at the BTC.D and USDT.D charts together.
USDT chart
- A chart that shows the overall fund status of the coin market
- When the gap rises, it means that funds have entered the coin market.
- When a gap decline occurs, it means that funds are withdrawn from the coin market.
USDC Chart
- A chart that shows the investment status of US investment products, that is, investment products such as ETFs
- This means that the investment environment for investment products is improving when the gap rises.
It is believed that this improved investment environment will serve as a bridge for inflow of funds into the coin market.
In particular, I think it plays a decisive role in continuing the relationship with the index chart of the stock market.
I think that USDC's gap increase is more likely to show a flow that is coupled with the index chart of the stock market, and gap decline is more likely to show a decoupling flow.
Activation of investment products will make it easy for investment institutions to enter the coin market, which will serve as an opportunity for the coin market to create a more transparent and sound investment environment.
However, as investment institutions enter the coin market, the opportunity for individual investors to earn large profits will decrease.
---------------------------------------
(BTCUSDTPERP 1D Chart)
It is showing an upward trend by breaking upward through the -100 indicator, HA-Low indicator, and HA-High indicator.
It can be seen that since the beginning of this movement, on the 27th of November, there has been a new trend from the downtrend line to sideways.
However, it was after December 15th that I became aware of these movements.
It was found that it had switched to a new flow as it moved sideways in the section consisting of -100, HA-Low, and HA-High.
On January 12, the -100 indicator rose from a step decline, providing a clear indication that the strength of the uptrend is growing.
However, as a prerequisite for an upward trend, the price must be maintained by rising above HA-Low or above MS-Signal.
Therefore, in order to turn into an upward trend from a mid- to long-term perspective, it must rise above the M-Signal on the 1W chart.
(HA-Low point on 1W chart: 17864.7)
This interpretation gives us an idea of why the stock is currently stopped at its current price level.
The -100 and +100 indicators are created using the CCI formula.
Thus, a rise above the -100 indicator indicates that the trend has turned sideways from a downtrend.
This sideways range is between -100 and +100.
Therefore, it means that the price needs to rise above 38326.8 to complete the sideways consolidation and revert to an uptrend.
It is almost impossible for the real price to spike and rise above 38326.8, so we have to wiggle the price up and down to create a drop in +100 indicator.
When that happens, if the price holds above the point where the +100 indicator was created, it can be interpreted that the possibility of reversing into an uptrend has increased.
Currently, the volume profile section of the 1M chart is forming at 19411.7.
Therefore, when the price holds above 19411.7, a +100 indicator will be generated, which will make the uptrend more likely.
In order to continue the upward trend from a mid- to long-term perspective, the price must be maintained by rising above the HA-High indicator.
However, since the HA-High indicator is formed at 59409.3, we need to shake it up and down just like the +100 indicator to make the HA-High indicator fall.
The fact that it has to be shaken up and down like this to make it fall means that there is a high possibility of great volatility in the future.
If not, and if it starts to move sideways at any interval, it is likely to have a fairly long sideways period.
Looking at this flow, you can see how large a trend change would be if the price held above 19411.7.
----------------------------------------------------
(1h chart)
If the price is maintained above the M-Signal line on the 1D chart and above 17108.7, the main position is 'LONG'.
Therefore, a quick response is required when entering the 'SHORT' position.
The 5EMA of the 1D chart and the M-Signal of the 1D chart, which are important parts of my trading strategy, are below, so it is currently unsuitable for trading.
For a minimum trade to be possible, MS-Signal must rise and show support or resistance.
These 3 indicators contribute significantly to position entry, as they are trend-indicating indicators.
In this sense, since the price is currently located near the M-Signal on the 1W chart, you should check whether it finds support or resistance.
It is recommended to enter 'L1' and 'LONG' positions when they show support around 19411.7.
1st selling point: around 20122.5
2nd: around 20853.8
End of trading: around 22471.5
Entry into 'S2' and 'SHORT' positions is possible when resistance is shown at 18741.7.
However, since the price is located above the M-Signal on the 1D chart, a quick response is required.
1st selling point: around 18369.8
Trade Closed: 17864.7-17935.7
It is recommended to close the trade if it touches the 5EMA line on the 1D chart and fails to decline.
Full-fledged 'SHORT' entry is when it shows resistance at 'S1', 17588.0.
-------------------------------------------
- big picture
I think you need to be supported in the 13K-15K section to get the power to rise.
Therefore, whether it is rising or falling from its current position, a short-term response is required.
A full-fledged uptrend is expected to start when it rises above 29K.
-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------
** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** If you share this chart, you can use the indicators normally.
** The MRHAB-T indicator includes indicators that indicate points of support and resistance.
** SR_R_C indicators are displayed as StochRSI (line), RSI (columns), and CCI (bgcolor).
** The CCI indicator is displayed in the overbought section (CCI > +100) and oversold section (CCI < -100).
(Short-term Stop Loss can be said to be a point where profit or loss can be preserved or additional entry can be made by split trading. This is a short-term investment perspective.)
---------------------------------
Trade active:
(BTCUSDTPERP 1h chart)
A 'LONG' position partially concluded around 17864.7-17935.7 is being held after the first sale.
Only the order placed at 17935 on the finger-marked candle filled and rose.
Only the order placed at 17935 on the finger-marked candle filled and rose.
Comment:
I think the rise in BTC dominance and the fall in USDT dominance show a good direction for the coin market to go up.
If the BTC dominance remains above 43 and the USDT dominance remains below 7.27 as the direction emerges, I think the coin market has definitely entered the beginning of an uptrend.
However, if you do not see funds flowing into USDT or USDC, you may see the price of altcoins fall again, so you need to think about countermeasures.
ETH moved to a mid- to long-term upward trend.
So, if BTC moves sideways from its current price range, ETH is likely to lead the coin market.
If ETH leads the rise of the coin market, it will lead to a decline in BTC dominance.
Then, the uptrend will be short-lived.
Therefore, if ETH leads the coin market and shows an upward trend, it is expected that it will be a dangerous point when it touches around 1549.89.
BTC has yet to turn into a mid- to long-term uptrend.
In order to turn into a mid- to long-term uptrend, the price needs to hold above 19176.93.
As long as the BTC price does not fall below the downtrend line (1) again, even if the price declines, it should be interpreted as a series of actions to switch to a new trend.
Also, in order for ETH to not dominate the coin market, BTC dominance must maintain an upward trend.
If BTC dominance enters the 39.56-40.44 zone, you should consider this uptrend over.
Therefore, we need to see what it will look like during the volatility period around January 23rd.
I think the rise in BTC dominance and the fall in USDT dominance show a good direction for the coin market to go up.
If the BTC dominance remains above 43 and the USDT dominance remains below 7.27 as the direction emerges, I think the coin market has definitely entered the beginning of an uptrend.
However, if you do not see funds flowing into USDT or USDC, you may see the price of altcoins fall again, so you need to think about countermeasures.
So, if BTC moves sideways from its current price range, ETH is likely to lead the coin market.
If ETH leads the rise of the coin market, it will lead to a decline in BTC dominance.
Then, the uptrend will be short-lived.
Therefore, if ETH leads the coin market and shows an upward trend, it is expected that it will be a dangerous point when it touches around 1549.89.
In order to turn into a mid- to long-term uptrend, the price needs to hold above 19176.93.
As long as the BTC price does not fall below the downtrend line (1) again, even if the price declines, it should be interpreted as a series of actions to switch to a new trend.
Also, in order for ETH to not dominate the coin market, BTC dominance must maintain an upward trend.
If BTC dominance enters the 39.56-40.44 zone, you should consider this uptrend over.
Therefore, we need to see what it will look like during the volatility period around January 23rd.
Comment:
For altcoins to keep rising
1. New funds must continuously flow into the coin market.
2. BTC dominance should show a decline.
3. USDT dominance should show a decline.
A continuous rise in the BTC price may rather lead to a fall in the altcoin, so the BTC price should show a sideways trend after rising to give the altcoin a chance to rise.
From that point of view, I think the current movement is quite meaningful.
However, if the BTC price falls below the downtrend line (1), this meaning should be considered to have disappeared.
1. New funds must continuously flow into the coin market.
2. BTC dominance should show a decline.
3. USDT dominance should show a decline.
A continuous rise in the BTC price may rather lead to a fall in the altcoin, so the BTC price should show a sideways trend after rising to give the altcoin a chance to rise.
From that point of view, I think the current movement is quite meaningful.
However, if the BTC price falls below the downtrend line (1), this meaning should be considered to have disappeared.
Comment:
(BTCUSDT.P 1h chart)
The 'LONG' position entered from around 17870.0-17929.0 closes when it rises to around 19185.5-19352.5.
And, when it rises above 19352.5, enter the 'LONG' position again
1st selling point: around 20124.5
2nd: around 20799
End of transaction: 21836.0
We recommend that you proceed with the transaction as above.
As the MS-Signal indicator rose to around 18737.5, the thickness began to thin.
Also, it is showing a sideways movement while touching the HA-High line.
Such a move will sooner or later be the basis for volatility to emerge.
And, when it rises above 19352.5, enter the 'LONG' position again
1st selling point: around 20124.5
2nd: around 20799
End of transaction: 21836.0
We recommend that you proceed with the transaction as above.
As the MS-Signal indicator rose to around 18737.5, the thickness began to thin.
Also, it is showing a sideways movement while touching the HA-High line.
Such a move will sooner or later be the basis for volatility to emerge.
Comment:
Trade closed: target reached:
(BTCUSDTPERP 1h chart)
The 'LONG' position entered from around 17864.7-17935.7 by touching around 19188.6 was closed after the first and second selling.
Therefore, if it shows support in the 19188.6-19411.7 section, it will enter 'LONG'.
Therefore, if it shows support in the 19188.6-19411.7 section, it will enter 'LONG'.
[Example of exchange chart setup]
(Binance)
www.tradingview.com/x/S94aDxa8
(Upbit)
www.tradingview.com/x/DF6cGh3G/
(Binance)
www.tradingview.com/x/S94aDxa8
(Upbit)
www.tradingview.com/x/DF6cGh3G/
Therefore, the key question is whether the price can be maintained above 11366.9.
This is because if the price does not re-enter the Hara trend line, even if the price goes down, it will eventually show an uptrend.
As the DXY chart shows a decline, it can be seen that the preemptive investment market is active.
There is no guarantee that this activation of the investment market will necessarily come into the stock or coin market.
However, it is highly likely that the investment market will be revitalized in the sense that there is a high possibility of reluctance to invest in the real economy due to difficulties in the real economy and issues such as war.
If it falls below 101.860 and holds, the investment market is likely to have a great boom.