NYMEX_DL:CLN2024   Crude Oil Futures (Jul 2024)
Crude Oil (July)

Yesterday’s close: Settled 77.57, down 1.09

WTI Crude Oil futures are showing renewed life this morning, trading nearly 2% from the low through Asia’s open. In fact, commodities broadly were hit sharply during that timeframe. Soft economic data and hawkish Fed speak have been a headwind this week, but less of a draw than expected on yesterday’s weekly EIA inventory report and news that Russia overproduced in April brought additional market pressures.

Have we hit peak pessimism? WTI Crude Oil futures tested and responded to a significant area of support overnight, potentially building out the right shoulder of an inverse head and shoulders going back to May 8th. As today’s session unfolds into the final day of the week, we believe continued price action above our Pivot and point of balance at 78.08, the .382 retracement back to the 80.11 high, will help invite fresh buying.

Bias: Neutral/Bullish

Resistance: 78.33-78.47***, 78.86-79.04***, 79.34**, 80.09-80.11***, 81.28***

Pivot: 78.08

Support: 77.35-77.60***, 76.63-76.82**, 75.70-76.46****, 74.66-74.70**

*Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services.

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