dchua1969

Emotions steer our actions, Reasons justify it

Long
dchua1969 Updated   
OANDA:CN50USD   China A50
Whether we like it or not, behind every decision we made, be it trading or in other aspects of your life, our decisions are always based on a set of emotions. Reasons offer a false sense of control of the situation.

We do things because it gives us pleasure (love, being accepted, respected, etc) or if it avoids pain (stress, anger, regrets, anxiety, feelings of loss, etc). Emotions leads us to actions and reasons lead to explanations (how we explain things to ourselves after we have bought something).

Think of a time when you go grocery shopping without a shopping list and ends up buying a bunch of things that you may not need. On your way home, you would explain to yourself why your decision is right (sure, we can use the organic marmalade jam for breakfast, 6 months later, it is still sitting in the fridge).

This is very crucial in the game of trading. Nobody wants to lose , be it small or big losses. There is a winner's mindset in all traders and we make our decision in a way to protect this self image of a winner within us. We feel that we cannot be let down somehow. In short, we want to control the outcome of the game.

Please note that trading is really a game of probability and thus it is essential that we must accept and come to terms that the outcome is hard for us to determine. The faster we accept this, the better we will see our performance in trading.

You can have a bullish trend, low RSI, everything that points to your favour and you execute a long position. Yet, Mr Market surprises you with a gap down and you hit your stop loss. Unbelievable but it happens ! Not once, many a times to frustrate traders to quit and come back to the game again and again.

Learning to focus on the journey '; the performance of each trade rather than predicting the outcome of the trend or the magic number at the top or bottom would be a wiser and more effective route to take, imo. For example, keeping strictly to your stop loss and not having 2nd thoughts that things may change (outcome) so you adjust your SL wider to accomodate it and not take immediate loss. Your fear of taking loss in each trade becomes a bad habit that you pick up unconsciously and if you are lucky to wing it, you would do it again.

I know it feels "high" , great and even respected if you are able to pick tops and bottom or calls the right trend and people keep asking you for trading advice. This is not that important, really in the game of trading. Do not let this "guru" hat clouds your judgement. Stay grounded and stay focus at each trade you execute. It may be pennies that you lose or win but the thoughts put into it will shape your trading future. Like a strand of rope, it gets thicker and thicker as you spun your way to more trades and without you knowing, you are caught in your own web of repetitive patterns.

Comment:
17 Jul 20 when there was a gap down presented an excellent opportunity to go long. Now, we have a nice bullish engulfing candle and I believe it will continue to trend higher. You can either buy now or wait for the breakout
Comment:
14,987 is a good support as you witnessed a bullish candle closed yesterday. Or you can wait for the breakout at around 15,454 to go long.
Comment:
OK, now it has broke out of the flag pattern , let's wait for tomorrow opening candle. If it opens above the current closing price, it may sends the buyers to come in and support the price higher.
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