This is the SECOND time the Singapore COVID-19 charts are giving us about 6-8 weeks heads up of an imminent spike in COVID-19 cases.
Much could have been done IF we looked closer and took appropriate actions.
Last post on this matter, on 5th March, it was clear and present danger that a 3rd wave spike was to happen in April... and now, we are in the onset of a spike in cases in Singapore.
It should be about another 8 weeks before things we under control...
This is NOT chance, but high probability (though unusual) projection of the dynamics.
You see, the RPM in the middle panel shows that it is not as powerful a run up this time (as previously expected); and the histograms correctly warned of this imminent spike, now indicating that it is probably nearing a peak out.
This predictive model also works for other countries. So it is robust.
Till next time, stay safe and stay healthy!
PS... see related ideas below for the historical tracking