Copper - bearish

FX:COPPER   CFDs on Copper
Daily Ichimoku shows a bearish copper with some attempt to reach the cloud. But the Kijun and the cloud bottom are offering some good resistance. We will see if the Kijun holds or not. Considering other indications provided by Ichimoku , it is more likely that the bullish momentum will be stopped.

Production increased, demand decreased. This is an oversimplification of the copper market but I think it's worth considering.

Source: (Report from 20th Jan 2016).

In developing its global market balance, the ICSG uses an apparent demand calculation for China—the leading
global consumer of copper accounting for about 45% of world demand (...). In the first ten months of 2015, world apparent usage is estimated to have declined by around 1% (210,000 t) compared with that in the same period of 2014. Excluding China, world usage declined by around 3.5%. Although Chinese apparent demand increased by around 1.5%, usage declined by 4.5% and 7% in the EU and Japan, respectively, and by 46% in Russia (following the withdrawal of Russia’s cathode export tax in September 2014). On a regional basis, usage is estimated to have increased by around 1% in Africa, in Asia and in the Americas, respectively while declining by around 10% and 60% in Europe and Oceania, respectively. World refined production is estimated to have increased by about 1.8% (330,000 t) in the first ten months of 2015 compared with refined production in the same period of 2014: primary production was up by 2% and secondary production (from scrap) remained essentially unchanged.


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