Hi Traders,
Having a look a the DAX today on the daily and 4 hours.
I have highlighted the descending channel that we have been in since mid-June. Descending channels are a great pattern and can usually present a great setup with a high risk to reward as the targets for the channel entries are usually up where the channel began.
We can classify this as a channel as we have a minimum of two taps on either side and if we adjust slightly to cover the wicks then we can say we have three taps on either side. I have shown these taps on the chart with small arrows indicating where the rice has touched the top and bottom of the channel.
I have added a line that cuts through the channel In a horizontal fashion. This line indicated previous support flipped resistance and we can see that price has respected this line. It was supported and when it flipped to the resistance we had a nice short bounce off of it. We need to see a break above this resistance to confirm bullish action.
Looking at the MACD below, we have divergence across the histogram. As the price continued to make lower lows, the histogram was trending upwards which indicated to us that the sellers have been weakening. This is usually a good sign when looking at descending channels in any time frame because once we see this partial divergence we can start waiting patiently for a break of the channel top.
Let's move on to the volume. Notice how the volume has decreased dramatically since we began the descending channel. If we see a break above the channel top, we need to see accompanying strong bullish volume.
THE SETUP
Usually, the way I would wait for a setup is, that we need to see the price break above the channel top as this is descending resistance. Once we see this impulsive break, we need to see the price close above the channel top confirming that this channel is indeed broken. As I am a patient break and retest trader and as this is on the daily time frame, I would wait for the price to come back down and retest the channel top as support before triggering a long position and trading the DAX to the upside. Targets would be around the 13700 level. This is a psychological whole number that adds confluence to the target as well as it being the price where the descending channel began.
This would be a long-term swing trade as this could take time to play out. Until we see that break, there is no point in even looking for a retest or long position in this time frame.
Until then, let's keep watching and keep our eyes open.
Hope you all have a wonderful Thursday.
See you all on the next one.
The Vortex Trader.
Having a look a the DAX today on the daily and 4 hours.
I have highlighted the descending channel that we have been in since mid-June. Descending channels are a great pattern and can usually present a great setup with a high risk to reward as the targets for the channel entries are usually up where the channel began.
We can classify this as a channel as we have a minimum of two taps on either side and if we adjust slightly to cover the wicks then we can say we have three taps on either side. I have shown these taps on the chart with small arrows indicating where the rice has touched the top and bottom of the channel.
I have added a line that cuts through the channel In a horizontal fashion. This line indicated previous support flipped resistance and we can see that price has respected this line. It was supported and when it flipped to the resistance we had a nice short bounce off of it. We need to see a break above this resistance to confirm bullish action.
Looking at the MACD below, we have divergence across the histogram. As the price continued to make lower lows, the histogram was trending upwards which indicated to us that the sellers have been weakening. This is usually a good sign when looking at descending channels in any time frame because once we see this partial divergence we can start waiting patiently for a break of the channel top.
Let's move on to the volume. Notice how the volume has decreased dramatically since we began the descending channel. If we see a break above the channel top, we need to see accompanying strong bullish volume.
THE SETUP
Usually, the way I would wait for a setup is, that we need to see the price break above the channel top as this is descending resistance. Once we see this impulsive break, we need to see the price close above the channel top confirming that this channel is indeed broken. As I am a patient break and retest trader and as this is on the daily time frame, I would wait for the price to come back down and retest the channel top as support before triggering a long position and trading the DAX to the upside. Targets would be around the 13700 level. This is a psychological whole number that adds confluence to the target as well as it being the price where the descending channel began.
This would be a long-term swing trade as this could take time to play out. Until we see that break, there is no point in even looking for a retest or long position in this time frame.
Until then, let's keep watching and keep our eyes open.
Hope you all have a wonderful Thursday.
See you all on the next one.
The Vortex Trader.