drchelsea1

DISNEY - BEAUTIFUL BUYING OPPORTUNITY / CORONAVIRUS ANALYSIS

Long
drchelsea1 Updated   
NYSE:DIS   Walt Disney Company (The)
0. Notes to follow;

1. We bought options on Friday at the close;

Comment:
2. This stock has suffered a really nice Virus-related selloff.

3. All the streaming premium for Disney+ has been priced out of the stock;

4. This is a massive discount;

5. This stock was in a pressured downward channel and has been sold off due to the End of World Plague that isn't coming;

6. More people to stay home under quarantine and watch "Disney Plus";

7. We are getting to the point mathematically (will be a separate post), that based on the infection rate (much faster than SARS), the test to detect available NOW (was 6 months for SARS), a vaccine ready in 30 days through new genetics (Was 1 year at SARS), Chinese ready for 20 years on this (Hospitals already built and opening Monday?), Chinese wearing masks for YEARS, and they are ready. The incubation period is the same, 10 to 14 days, as SARS, and with global communication, we now know instantly what is going on. The peak of the SARS was FEB 2002, The market starting going up then and KEPT going up. All will we outlined with stories and analysis to prove this;
Comment:
8. Friday was the end but close;

9. This stock is in an Inverted Head and Shoulder Pattern;

0. This stock WILL break to the upside;

1. Pickup a 100 shares Monday morning and nibble;

2. We are running mathematical analysis and R0 mathematical models and mortality rates to this, much less than SARS, < 2%, SARS was 10%, SARS spread slower, THIS SPREADS FAST, same incubation period. We go this. China is prepared, and based on models we ARE close to the peak in panic and selling here.
Comment:
Watch the movie "Outbreak", it is the number one on the download on the Internet right now.
Comment:
This spreads real fast, and has a low mortality rate:

Here is all the data you need.

This spreads slower than the flu.

www.lung.org/assets/.../pi-trend-report.pdf

www.weforum.org/agen...healthcare-symptoms/

I am crunching the numbers, but it spreads like the flu, and has a mortality rate of about 1 percent maybe. They say 2 percent, but the China are massively under-reporting cases, it is more like 0.5 percent, the flu:

"Worldwide, annual flu epidemics are estimated to result in about 3 to 5 million cases of severe illness, according to the WHO, and about 290,000 to 650,000 respiratory deaths."

SO FLU HAS A 13 PERCENT RESPIRATORY FATALITY RATE;

CORONA VIRUS SPREADS FASTER, AND HAS A 1 TO 2 PERCENT RESPIRATORY FATALITY RATE;

THIS IS WAY LESS THAN A NEW FLU STRAIN LIKE SYNDEY A.

So calm down and buy some stocks.

"Like CoronaVirus, Fear is Contagious"

seekingalpha.com/art...s-fear-is-contagious

We are also at PEAK news stories, based on the 2002 Feb SARS PEAK, and we have better news Internet everything.

The time to buy the market is near:

www.cnbc.com/2020/01...r-history-shows.html
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