- is absolutely neutral
- Heikin-Ashi pattern is neutral: last 2 months' candles are bearis, , , neutral, neutral, and this week starts with some bias, but haOscillator is not strong.
- EWO and are neutral
- Downtrendline and Kumo top at 96,20+. This is the hard resistance line. We could talk about dollar only above this level.
- Possible triangle within possible . Lower supp /res. marked by inner uptrendline and Kijun Sen ard 94,75.
- is neutral. Price is still in the Kumo cloud. All average lines stay close together and they are flat.
- Heikin-Ashi has had some bias within the tight range, but price reached upper . Not much juice left here to squeeze before FOMC.
- EWO is neutral.
- ATR is still low -> very low volatilitty
Obviously FED will decide with its rethoric which way to force a breakout. But the breakout is close, goven how tight the , and how low the is.
Just as a feeling for now, I prefer to short dollar on these spikes. Despite slightly stronger data, I doubt FED will hike before elections. Bond market price action shows same expectation -> bonds are not really gaining momentum. I also think all central banks globally will be far behind the curve for long time, even if picks up in the close future. They will not risk an economic turndown with pre-emptive hikes, the last thing they want is a stagflation and increasing debt burden.