ExclusiveMarkets

US Dollar Index looking to terminate Wave 2 triangle @ 100.50/70

Short
TVC:DXY   U.S. Dollar Index
US Dollar Index still probing a lower top to terminate Wave 2. If it is a triangle, prices should likely stay below 100.87 and in case of a flat it could reach up to 101.20, which is fibonacci 0.618 retracement of Wave 1 on the chart here. Either way, we favor a bearish count until it stays below 103.00 handle. Immediate support is @ 99.00, followed by 98.70, and a break lower would trigger further selloff. It would be interesting to see how US Dollar Index reacts around the 100.87 handle. Structurally, the index had dropped earlier from 103.00 through 98.27 lows, Wave 1 on the chart. It has been consolidating since then, and we expect a lower top as Wave 2 termination between now and 101.20. If the above count holds, we could see Wave 3 lower towards 94.65 levels going forward.

Strategy:

Short against 103.00, targeting below 94.00.

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