RayonMarkets

We are not in a recessionary bear market yet....

Long
FRED:EMRATIO   Employment-Population Ratio
This analysis overlays US Recessions over SPX on the top pane.

Bottom pane is a technique shared by famous trader , Larry William - recently presented at a NAAIM Conference. The technique looks at US job market as % of population. You can find more on Sentimentrader.

Larger declines in stock market are usually accompanied by a recession. There is clearly a softening of the labor market but hanging above the recession territory.

Unless we dip into a recession and Oct 2022 lows on SPX holds - we are not in a recessionary bear market.


RayonMarkets
Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.