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Paltsmet Paltsmet BTCUSD, D, Long
BTCUSD: Bitcoin - Past, present and Future
597 2 13
BTCUSD, D Long
Bitcoin - Past, present and Future

Bitcoin and other deflationary crypto-assets follow distinct fractal patterns in their price movements. Bitcoin , most of all, strictly follows a fibonacci pattern during its bubbles. To the right we have the 2013 bubble and the previous minibubble as basis for our fib-extension. Here we see that bitcoin always has concluded its bubble cycles at the 5.236 ...

letthewriterswrite letthewriterswrite NDX, W, Short
NDX: Possible repeat of the 2008 recession?
406 5 6
NDX, W Short
Possible repeat of the 2008 recession?

I predicted a downturn for Google and Logitech this week not realizing the much bigger picture, the NASDAQ. In trying to understand what happened today, I found a very troubling pattern. It seems that in the 2008 recession, it took a dip and tried to correct itself only to crash even worse. Are we facing a similar pattern at a much greater proportion?

Intuit Intuit PRO DJY0, M, Short
DJY0: The DOW is in a 10 Year Harmonic Reversal Zone
632 3 21
DJY0, M Short
The DOW is in a 10 Year Harmonic Reversal Zone

There are two deep crabs on the monthly DJIA chart with the largest spanning nearly 10 years. That puts us right inside of a massive harmonic potential reversal zone. IF this PRZ holds we could see a very deep retracement of the bull run of the last 7 years. HOWEVER, if this harmonic reversal zone fails by becoming support, then we could definitely see higher ...

IceTrading IceTrading SPX500, W, Short
SPX500: SPX500 The Undeniable Truth
435 3 9
SPX500, W Short
SPX500 The Undeniable Truth

Since the financial crisis of 2009, productivity, business investment, labor force participation and wage growth have all been significantly below trend. Asset prices have "recovered", although this is only the result of speculative borrowing due to low interest rates. GDP has not seen a year of growth over 3% since 2007. This pathetic rate of growth is currently ...

gurple gurple PRO UNRATE, M,
UNRATE: WARNING: Beware of Recession
124 0 1
UNRATE, M
WARNING: Beware of Recession

Whenever the unemployment rate has crossed above the 12 month moving average, almost always a recession has soon followed. Here we are now.

JamesBrown JamesBrown PRO SPX500, D, Short
SPX500: Short...Under the Right Conditions, of Course
108 0 2
SPX500, D Short
Short...Under the Right Conditions, of Course

If trend-lines are broken, look for a new bear market and tests of the recent lows, before start of a major...MAJOR, bear market, IMO.

QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading GBPUSD, D, Short
GBPUSD: GBPUSD SHORT: BOE/ FOMC POLICY EXPECTATIONS INCREASINGLY BEARISH
339 2 18
GBPUSD, D Short
GBPUSD SHORT: BOE/ FOMC POLICY EXPECTATIONS INCREASINGLY BEARISH

Following today's Service/ Manufacturing PMI miss (worst contraction in 88 months - since 2009) the Sterling market has come under significant pressure as BOE rate cut expectations increase with OIS rates markets pricing a 94% chance of a 4th Aug cut vs 85% before the PMI's were released. Further, the PMI misses has attracted attention from UK Politicians e.g. ...

MacroView_Research MacroView_Research XAUUSD, 240,
XAUUSD: #Gold Testing Support Near Term Bounce Expected
718 1 6
XAUUSD, 240
#Gold Testing Support Near Term Bounce Expected

Gold is testing lower levels of support as market participants aim to price in a potential rate hike in June by the Federal Reserve. While intraday price action is oversold, the daily chart is indicating further selling could continue to below $1,230. If a close below this key level occurs, traders can expect XAUUSD to reach $1,215. Subscribers of MacroView's ...

SPX: Unapologetically Bearish
881 8 10
SPX, D
Unapologetically Bearish

A series of events took place causing me sit back and contemplate market participants (in)sanity. First, it is known that I've was one of the first to stick my neck out and tell it how it is – the U.S. Is facing a recession in 2016 – last April. Soon after, various investment banks flirted with the potential but gave the very realistic situation very low ...

GLD: Demand for Gold Rockets Higher
434 0 9
GLD, D
Demand for Gold Rockets Higher

Is the once Goldman Sachs "slam dunk sell" turning into a layup buy? I cannot hate the initial call from many investment bank analysts it to sink to $1,000 because, in 2013, I issued a $1,035 bear-call. However, I do ridicule these analysts for unwillingly (either through ignorance or moral hazard) understanding the dynamics of gold. But in 2014 I turned rather ...

Emanance Emanance SPX500, D, Short
SPX500: S&P 500 Push It Real Good!
1237 2 30
SPX500, D Short
S&P 500 Push It Real Good!

The S&P 500 is starting to look pretty dismal on the longterm daily chart, despite the recent relief rally. Following the curves, price is on track to go into panicked free fall sometime in June or July. But as is the chaotic nature of the seneca cliff, It could fall a lot sooner than that. The exquisite head & shoulders top that forms the multi year crest of this ...

MarcusWilliamson MarcusWilliamson SPX500, W, Short
SPX500: My prediction for the next recession!
918 5 21
SPX500, W Short
My prediction for the next recession!

Massive retraction in equities should happen after this brief counter rally comes to an end. A larger and sharper drop will occur as volatility cycles increase in amplitude and frequency every year.

SPX: SPX Pullbacks Are Volumeless, Stay the Course
770 6 8
SPX, D
SPX Pullbacks Are Volumeless, Stay the Course

Traders have seen this before, and it continues to play out as the global economic climate breaks down. Although these pullbacks in the SPX are often lofty and swift, it is important to realize volume is the most import factor when considering the validity of a pullback. Here, we can see that the move in SPY is volumeless. The entire squeeze from the Feb. 11 low ...

theStrangler theStrangler SPY, W, Short
SPY: Ah... China, and we've just begun - yellow line of despair
230 0 3
SPY, W Short
Ah... China, and we've just begun - yellow line of despair

We won't be getting higher than the yellow line any time soon. With recent events around China's "real" numbers coming in (who knows what's real anymore?) and the issues around oil production (which are NEVER going away b/c in 15 years we won't even need oil anymore), the market is in a major, structure re-evaluation phase. Why? 1. Global unease in the old model ...

Goldmans_Sak Goldmans_Sak PRO XAUUSD/XAGUSD, M, Long
XAUUSD/XAGUSD: Long Silver
281 0 4
XAUUSD/XAGUSD, M Long
Long Silver

As this new crisis unfolds and the current Keynesian based Economy collapses, Central banks will be forced to lower rates. A raise in Rates from the Fed would trigger massive deleveraging worldwide. Silver's relative performance tell us that it will likely outperform Gold.

Kaustubh Kaustubh TNX, M,
TNX: US Treasuries
27 0 1
TNX, M
US Treasuries

This support is significant. If broken, it would probably signal yet another prolonged recession

JRaeChip JRaeChip SPX500, M, Short
SPX500: Look out below - Recession coming!
90 0 1
SPX500, M Short
Look out below - Recession coming!

If you look at just a one-year chart, the 200 simple moving average is pointed down - just like it was before the tech bubble and before the 2007 financial crisis. The market is currently showing a head and shoulders top. Next stop 1600. After that... free fall.

CommoditiesTrader CommoditiesTrader CADJPY, D,
CADJPY: Implications of Risk (CAD, WTI and Bonus Chart)
444 0 3
CADJPY, D
Implications of Risk (CAD, WTI and Bonus Chart)

CADJPY has been setting up to become a great selling opportunity on a macro-standpoint for the following reasons: I was looking for a drop well-before today's ...

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