The stock market continued to rise last week, even as Labor Department data continued to show signs of high unemployment level. The most straightforward reading of the mismatch between the stock market and the labor market data is that Congress did a much better job preserving the value of capital owners’ investments than of saving jobs.
Another reason might be that investors have gotten very optimistic. It’s true that intense restrictions on activity seem to be effectively slowing the spread of the virus. And it’s true that the Italian and Spanish experiences suggest that means that we could be seeing declining deaths and case volumes by the end of April.