CME_MINI:ES1!   S&P 500 E-MINI FUTURES
172 6 1
4 months ago
VIX             closed last week on the lowest level since august 2015 – and we all remember what happened then. This, combined with the highest ever level for S&P 500             make me a little cautious in the short term. Move up in S&P 500             looks somewhat tired. I believe market needs some rest and is ready for a small correction. So here is my idea for the trade:


buy AMEX:VXX             (iPath S&P 500             VIX             ST             Futures ) in anticipation of S&P             to decrease to 2100-2090 level in the next one to two weeks or

sell short CME_MINI:ES1!             ( S&P             e-mini futures ) with the target 2091-2085.

As usual, watch your risk and follow capital guidelines.
4 months ago
Comment: Look ar that NAAIM exposure index chart:
http://www.naaim.org/programs/naaim-exposure-index/

Seems to me investment managers have pushed their clients (equity accounts) to be nearly fully allocated to stocks.
Fitzndahyouwz
4 months ago
Yeah I'm all for it but what is the catalist for the market drop?
Reply
kirill_EN Fitzndahyouwz
4 months ago
There are several: stretched levels in S&P and some indicators, Turkish coup and FOMC meeting 26-27 july (which was almost always bullish for the market in the recent years, and I prefer it to start rally from somewhat less extended levels).
Reply
sushil6002
4 months ago
why do u think short in it......
Reply
kirill_EN sushil6002
4 months ago
It's just a small short (for this week maybe). I already described main catalists in reply to Fitzndahyouwz.
Reply
sushil6002 kirill_EN
4 months ago
ok fine..... but how may this metting affact the overall behaviour of spx500....may u tell me
Reply
kirill_EN sushil6002
4 months ago
Inhale, then inhale a little more, then a little more – hard, isn't it? Today's market looks like it's fully inhaled and to be able to breathe (grow) further it may need to exhale at least partially. FOMC meetings are (almost always) bullish in the recent years, but how good market upward movement would be if it is already high? (everyone that wanted to buy already bought). I hope to see at least small correction or consolidation before growth will continue. That's simply an idea – market can do whatever it wants, and I'll adapt.

Hope this makes sense.
Reply
Ideas Scripts Chart
United States
United Kingdom
India
España
Italia
Brasil
Россия
Türkiye
日本
한국
Home Stock Screener Economic Calendar How It Works Chart Features House Rules Moderators For the WEB Widgets Stock Charting Library Priority Support Feature Request Blog & News FAQ Help & Wiki Twitter
Private Messages Chat Ideas Published Followers Following Priority Support Public Profile Profile Settings Billing Sign Out