ZenMode

H&S Bottom: Double Bust (ETH)

Long
ZenMode Updated   
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD   Ethereum
The inverted head and shoulders pattern failed.
All is well, as we have Thomas Bulkowski's history of patterns & statistical setups to guide us along together.

Ethereum has already invalidated the single bust.

It is time to explore the Double Bust IH&S chart pattern, & look for these elements:

  • Price must confirm the head-and-shoulders bottom by closing above the neckline or right armpit (A).
  • Price rises no more than 10% before reversing.
  • Price closes below the bottom of the chart pattern (B). This busts the pattern for the first time.
  • Price drops no more than 10% below the bottom of the head-and-shoulders bottom.
  • Price closes above the top of the head-and-shoulders bottom. This busts the chart pattern for the second time (C).
  • The stock rises more than 10% above the top of the head-and-shoulders bottom.

A double busted head-and-shoulders bottom turns into a triple bust when the rise after the second bust is no more than 10% and price then closes below the bottom of the chart pattern.

Busted Inverted Head-and-Shoulders Historical Performance:
  • 16% of head-and-shoulders bottoms will bust
  • Of those that bust...47% will single bust
  • 36% will double bust
  • 17% of them will triple bust
  • Single busted patterns will see price drop 22% on average (invalidated)
  • Non-busted head-and-shoulders bottoms (that is, head-and-shoulders tops) will see price drop by 16% on average

If you have related analysis please be sure to share so we can learn together!


Confirmation of Single Bust Invalidation:
  • Price must confirm the head-and-shoulders bottom by closing above the neckline (down sloping necklines) or above the right armpit. That occurs at (A) in the figure above.
  • Price must rise no more than 10% above the neckline.
  • Price then closes below the bottom of the head-and-shoulders bottom (B).
  • Price continues dropping more than 10% without closing above the top of the head-and-shoulders.
Comment:

Ironically it looks like it may just be a simple single bust after all
Comment:
-9% we are looking at the breakdown of a single bust
Comment:
daily closed well under the head - recommend looking to accumulate into these buy zones. 1250 is my initial long
Comment:
continued selling

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