Ether (ETH) oversold heavily - bounce coming soon?

COINBASE:ETHUSD   Ethereum / U.S. Dollar
ETH is oversold on the daily, on the 4 hour, on the 2 hour...

The next possible point for a substantial bounce is around the 470$ region (first orange line).
As you can see on the daily chart , this point is identical with a 100% retrace for the rally that started on December 11th.
So under normal circumstances, I would expect to see a strong bounce here.

However, if BTC continues to tank further, so could ETH.

The next possible supports would be around the 400$ mark (second orange line), and then the 300$ mark (third orange line). This targets are all derived from relevant points of last year.

If we break even the 300$ mark, well, god help

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Mar 18
Comment: I forgot to add: contrary to BTC and LTC, ETH is now even below the low of Feb 6th!
Mar 18
Comment: We have reached possible bounce point 1, now it's getting interesting.
Not the slightest trace of a bounce yet.
Mar 18
Comment: So we bounced off of 450$, at least for now.

The low of the lowest candle is exactly at 450.00$, at least on the Coinbase chart.

I redraw the Fibonacci levels, this time I took the lows of early August as the lowest point. It appears that we are now hovering around the 78.6% retrace from the rally beginning early August - which is at the same time the 100% retrace from the rally starting in December.

Isn't that amazing :)
Mar 18
Comment: The chart with the new Fib-levels:

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