Ethereum - 76% crash to 389 USD! (must see, bear flag)
- My analysis shows an impressive crash is prepared on ETH after 427 days of consolidation in this bear flag on the weekly chart! It was a long time, and ETH has been going pretty much sideways. Now we have to expect huge volatility!
- The trendline of the bear flag is clearly breaking down with an ABC Elliott wave corrective pattern, which strengthens the bearish bias. It also looks like a wedge, but a wedge should have a 5-wave structure (a leading diagonal Elliott wave pattern). So this is a bearish pattern, and a 76% crash is absolutely coming in the next few months.
- You probably don't have too much time to think about what to do with your investments, but consider if you can handle a 76% crash on your spot or futures holdings. My recommendation is to sell, as it's too risky to hold it, and buying cheap ether later in 2024 is definitely juicy!
- Now what is the target, and where will the bottom be on ETH? We have a strong confluence at 389 USD and 387 USD because this is the Fibonacci 0.618 level of the previous bull market on the LOG scale and also because this is a 1:1 Fibonacci extension from wave (A) -> wave (B) of the current bear market! What's more, we have a first point of control over the volume profile, which you can see on the left side of the chart.
- This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
- As you know from my previous ideas, I expect Bitcoin to hit 10k next year. What would be really weird if BTC dropped and ETH rose? So 10k on BTC and 389 on ETH are my targets.
- I also checked more altcoins, such as DOGE, SHIBA, XRP, and LTC, and none of them looked bullish. The best is to stay in USD.
- Write a comment with your opinion, because I look forward to it!
- Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
Comment:
Let's zoom in on the bull flag and see my Elliott Wave count of the ABC correction:
Comment:
Important question, will we see a retest of the flag? The probability is generally pretty high. If this happens, that would be a great opportunity to short ETH!
Comment:
Also take a look at the ETH vs BTC chart. TRENDLINE 2015 - 2023 IS BREAKING DOWN!
