themarketzone

This is what separates the Euro/USD from equilibrium

FX:EURUSD   Euro / U.S. Dollar
Draghi's words last week, knocked out $EURUSD that was hanging there near 1.14, looking like it was about to breakout higher.
The result of Draghi's speech was that $EURUSD declined all the way down to 1.1 again, breaking down two trend lines and several support zones in the process.

Now, back near 1.1, which is a critical structure zone, $EURUSD completed a bullish Gartley pattern.
This Gartley , and the 1.1 structure is probably what separates $EURUSD from reaching equilibrium.
The X point is near 1.08.. but the deeper and lower $EURUSD will try and reach, the further it will be from the broken trend line .. basically confirming breakdown and ruling out the option of a False Break.

Two critical zones for bulls to monitor this week. Fed's Week:
1.1 - The price must close the week above it.
1.11 - A close above 1.11-1.115 can be considered a signal that last week's breakdown was a False Break.

Now that Draghi punched the EUR down, it is Yellen's turn to deal with the strength of the Dollar.. Currencies war in play. Will Yellen deliver another blow to USD? Hesitation about rate hike would do the trick.

No doubt we've seen a major bearish signal last week coming out of EURUSD             ... but in these crazy days, it is good to keep open mind for even "crazy ideas"

Tomer, themarketzone.net
This analysis is part of this week's Weekly Markets Analysis.
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Comment: Below 1.1 - Major bearish development but still looking for the weekly close.
Pattern still valid.
Comment: EURUSD respects PRZ - 1.11 and 1.12 are nearest target levels
snapshot
I shorted under today's open...recovered 2% of the 3% loss that the slippage costed me.
Not bad!
Monitoring as well, very interesting.
Reply
Monitoring as well.
I conduct a lot of quarterly analysis and the main signal is that one in my chart. I aim lower, unless we break above the red horizontal line on my chart.
I agree on this level for the Gartley, might give a pullback, for a sell.
+1 Reply
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