JohnLaw
Short

STUMBLING THE EURUSD legs by the MONTH

FX:EURUSD   Euro Fx/U.S. Dollar
Let's look at the really big picture here on the EUR/USD- the MONTHLY chart (log scale).
Note: this is of course NOT suitable for trading. Beware.

Usage:
- protecting your savings (by going into USD)
- determining the overall trend (which pressure prevails, when going down to lower time frames?)
- as well as determining important support & resistance levels we might otherwise forget about.

Concluding: continued downside pressure is what you'd be looking for,, the current frenzy in EURUSD             is NOT changing that at all.

When trading the shorter swings, positions to the downside should be taken around 1.19 / 1.21 (now compare these levels to those on the daily chart - hey, surprise!). I am convinced those levels won't be breached, setting us up for the next leg down to parity. By then.... PERHAPS.... a positive RSI divergence can form (but this is even farther ahead people!)


Fib target level: 1.007

Personally, fundamentally speaking (!) I would not be surprised to see that break, too. To then see the EURUSD             retrace all the way to approx. 0.90). However, that's highly speculative and there's NO way of telling so from this chart.

A collapse in Euroland might cause it, or a worldwide flee into the 'safe' USD might be a cause too. The good thing: as long as we stay alive, we shall see it either happening - or not.

The market will tell.

On a final note: there is definitely NO positive RSI divergence yet. On the contrary: the RSI is now just CONFIRMING the negative mode for EURUSD             . Continued pressure DOWN is therefore what you'd be looking for.
JohnLaw
a year ago
EDIT:
Text box beneath the orange box should read: "september 2014" (and NOT "september 2015" obviously :-)
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