DAILY
downtrend
possible trendline break along
with support break 1.11294
RSI at support level
trade idea for going short
sell at 1.1070
stop at 1.12855
TP at 1.08551 to 1.07359
News
www.fxstreet.co...17-201903081833?utm_source...
EUR/USD recovers on Friday, still heads for lowest weekly close since June 2017
By Matías Salord
Share on Twitter Share on Facebook Share on Linkedin
Euro rebounds further against US dollar during Friday’s American session.
EUR/USD supported by a correction of the greenback and a rally in EUR/GBP.
The EUR/USD pair printed fresh daily highs on Friday at 1.1245 and near the end of the session was hovering around 1.1240, posting a daily gain of 50 pips.
The euro rebounded on Friday from the 20-month lows it reached on Thursday following the ECB meeting. Analysts at Danske Bank explained that in light of the very soft message, it “nosedived from just above the 1.13 mark to below 1.12. Near term, we expect EUR/USD to remain below the 1.12 mark. With the risk of pockets of USD strength from renewed pricing of Fed hikes and a trade deal that will not provide much imminent support, this opens the possibility for a EUR/USD move towards 1.10 on a 3M horizon.”
On Friday, data showed that the US economy added 20K significantly below the 180K expected, the unemployment rate fell to 3.8% and hourly wages rose 0.4% in February posting the biggest annual gain in nearly a decade. The greenback weakened after the report but then the pressure eased.
EUR/USD moved all day with a bullish bias. The euro also received support from the rally in EUR/GBP that climbed to 0.8650 ahead of a crucial week for the Brexit drama.
The recovery on Friday trimmed Thursday’s losses, still EUR/USD is about to end the week more than a hundred pips below the level it had a week ago. The move higher was on the back of a higher US dollar boosted by risk aversion.
www.marketwatch...port-2019-03-08?siteid=yho...
The dollar extended losses on Friday, following a weaker-than-expected February U.S. jobs report.
Nonfarm payrolls for the month rose only 20,000, compared with a consensus forecast of 175,000, while the unemployment rate was in line with expectations at 3.8%. Average hourly earnings rose 0.4%, more than the expected 0.3%.
“Today’s huge miss will likely keep haven assets in favor as fears of an economic slowdown adds to the risk-off sentiment driving markets,” said Sam Cooper, vice president of market risk solutions at Silicon Valley Bank. “While participants appear to be focused on trade and politics, the disappointing data will be a concern for dollar bulls and could put the brakes on the momentum behind a strengthening dollar.”
See: ‘Don’t hit panic’ — economists find the jobs report wasn’t as bad as 20,000 headline suggests
Read: Fed’s pause now extends through September in wake of weak jobs report
The ICE U.S. Dollar Index DXY, -0.24% a measure of the currency against a basket of six major rivals, was last down 0.4% at 97.318.
Market participants are also watching for a speech by Federal Reserve President Jerome Powell at 10.15 p.m. Eastern at Stanford University in California.
The ailing dollar helped its major rival, the euro EURUSD, +0.3752% higher. On Thursday, the shared currency sold off to its lowest level since mid-2017 after the European Central Bank said it wouldn’t raise interest rates until the end of 2019 — extending this horizon from the summer — and introduced a new targeted longer-term refinancing operation, or TLTRO. The moves came as the ECB also downgraded its growth projections for the eurozone.
Don’t miss: Beware the ‘Japanification’ of Europe, warn ING economists
“The market reaction to the ECB decision was nothing short of astounding,” said Win Thin, global head of currency strategy at Brown Brothers Harriman. “As one would expect, the dovish hold by the ECB saw the euro weaken to multiyear lows. However, the outsized impact on global equity and FX markets were quite unexpected. Basically, investors made it clear that global growth concerns totally outweighed the easier liquidity story from the dovish ECB.”
Read: Why the ECB’s surprise policy moves sent shivers through global stock markets
On Friday, the euro bought $1.1243, compared with $1.1194 late Thursday in New York.
Elsewhere, U.K. Prime Minister Theresa May had a last chance at asking the European Union for a better Brexit deal, ahead of the presumably final vote in the British Parliament next week on March 12. But according to a Bloomberg report, the U.K. already rejected the latest EU offer, which proposed to apply the Irish border backstop to Northern Ireland only, rather than all of the U.K. The treatment of the border between Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland has long been a contentious aspect of the Brexit renegotiations.
The U.K. is set to leave the EU on March 29. So far, no deal governing the relationship between London and Brussels has been agreed. On Friday, May said that Britain might never leave the EU if Parliament didn’t support her deal. Last month, lawmakers agreed in a nonbinding vote to avoid a no-deal Brexit.
Brexit Brief: Theresa May makes final deal pitches ahead of crunch vote
The British pound GBPUSD, -0.5274% drifted lower for much of the session, last buying $1.3016, versus $1.3007 late Thursday. Against the euro EURGBP, +0.8884% sterling was sharply lower, with one euro buying £0.8642, up 1.1%.
China reported February trade numbers during the Asian session, which came in far worse than the consensus. Exports dropped 20.7%, compared with a 4% slide expected, while imports fell by 5.2% rather than only 0.9%.
China’s yuan was trading in a tight range against the greenback, with one dollar buying 6.7216 yuan in Beijing USDCNY, +0.0968% up 0.1%, and 6.7310 yuan in the offshore market USDCNH, -0.0594% down 0.1%.
downtrend
possible trendline break along
with support break 1.11294
RSI at support level
trade idea for going short
sell at 1.1070
stop at 1.12855
TP at 1.08551 to 1.07359
News
www.fxstreet.co...17-201903081833?utm_source...
EUR/USD recovers on Friday, still heads for lowest weekly close since June 2017
By Matías Salord
Share on Twitter Share on Facebook Share on Linkedin
Euro rebounds further against US dollar during Friday’s American session.
EUR/USD supported by a correction of the greenback and a rally in EUR/GBP.
The EUR/USD pair printed fresh daily highs on Friday at 1.1245 and near the end of the session was hovering around 1.1240, posting a daily gain of 50 pips.
The euro rebounded on Friday from the 20-month lows it reached on Thursday following the ECB meeting. Analysts at Danske Bank explained that in light of the very soft message, it “nosedived from just above the 1.13 mark to below 1.12. Near term, we expect EUR/USD to remain below the 1.12 mark. With the risk of pockets of USD strength from renewed pricing of Fed hikes and a trade deal that will not provide much imminent support, this opens the possibility for a EUR/USD move towards 1.10 on a 3M horizon.”
On Friday, data showed that the US economy added 20K significantly below the 180K expected, the unemployment rate fell to 3.8% and hourly wages rose 0.4% in February posting the biggest annual gain in nearly a decade. The greenback weakened after the report but then the pressure eased.
EUR/USD moved all day with a bullish bias. The euro also received support from the rally in EUR/GBP that climbed to 0.8650 ahead of a crucial week for the Brexit drama.
The recovery on Friday trimmed Thursday’s losses, still EUR/USD is about to end the week more than a hundred pips below the level it had a week ago. The move higher was on the back of a higher US dollar boosted by risk aversion.
www.marketwatch...port-2019-03-08?siteid=yho...
The dollar extended losses on Friday, following a weaker-than-expected February U.S. jobs report.
Nonfarm payrolls for the month rose only 20,000, compared with a consensus forecast of 175,000, while the unemployment rate was in line with expectations at 3.8%. Average hourly earnings rose 0.4%, more than the expected 0.3%.
“Today’s huge miss will likely keep haven assets in favor as fears of an economic slowdown adds to the risk-off sentiment driving markets,” said Sam Cooper, vice president of market risk solutions at Silicon Valley Bank. “While participants appear to be focused on trade and politics, the disappointing data will be a concern for dollar bulls and could put the brakes on the momentum behind a strengthening dollar.”
See: ‘Don’t hit panic’ — economists find the jobs report wasn’t as bad as 20,000 headline suggests
Read: Fed’s pause now extends through September in wake of weak jobs report
The ICE U.S. Dollar Index DXY, -0.24% a measure of the currency against a basket of six major rivals, was last down 0.4% at 97.318.
Market participants are also watching for a speech by Federal Reserve President Jerome Powell at 10.15 p.m. Eastern at Stanford University in California.
The ailing dollar helped its major rival, the euro EURUSD, +0.3752% higher. On Thursday, the shared currency sold off to its lowest level since mid-2017 after the European Central Bank said it wouldn’t raise interest rates until the end of 2019 — extending this horizon from the summer — and introduced a new targeted longer-term refinancing operation, or TLTRO. The moves came as the ECB also downgraded its growth projections for the eurozone.
Don’t miss: Beware the ‘Japanification’ of Europe, warn ING economists
“The market reaction to the ECB decision was nothing short of astounding,” said Win Thin, global head of currency strategy at Brown Brothers Harriman. “As one would expect, the dovish hold by the ECB saw the euro weaken to multiyear lows. However, the outsized impact on global equity and FX markets were quite unexpected. Basically, investors made it clear that global growth concerns totally outweighed the easier liquidity story from the dovish ECB.”
Read: Why the ECB’s surprise policy moves sent shivers through global stock markets
On Friday, the euro bought $1.1243, compared with $1.1194 late Thursday in New York.
Elsewhere, U.K. Prime Minister Theresa May had a last chance at asking the European Union for a better Brexit deal, ahead of the presumably final vote in the British Parliament next week on March 12. But according to a Bloomberg report, the U.K. already rejected the latest EU offer, which proposed to apply the Irish border backstop to Northern Ireland only, rather than all of the U.K. The treatment of the border between Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland has long been a contentious aspect of the Brexit renegotiations.
The U.K. is set to leave the EU on March 29. So far, no deal governing the relationship between London and Brussels has been agreed. On Friday, May said that Britain might never leave the EU if Parliament didn’t support her deal. Last month, lawmakers agreed in a nonbinding vote to avoid a no-deal Brexit.
Brexit Brief: Theresa May makes final deal pitches ahead of crunch vote
The British pound GBPUSD, -0.5274% drifted lower for much of the session, last buying $1.3016, versus $1.3007 late Thursday. Against the euro EURGBP, +0.8884% sterling was sharply lower, with one euro buying £0.8642, up 1.1%.
China reported February trade numbers during the Asian session, which came in far worse than the consensus. Exports dropped 20.7%, compared with a 4% slide expected, while imports fell by 5.2% rather than only 0.9%.
China’s yuan was trading in a tight range against the greenback, with one dollar buying 6.7216 yuan in Beijing USDCNY, +0.0968% up 0.1%, and 6.7310 yuan in the offshore market USDCNH, -0.0594% down 0.1%.