What Next 2.10 Looks Crucial?

This currency pair has caught my attention due to its recent breakthrough of the 2.10 resistance zone last week, propelling it upwards to around 2.13. But what lies ahead?

Initially, it's worth noting that on the lower timeframe charts, we're witnessing a significant overbought condition. This hints at an impending retracement. In fact, signs are already emerging that a downward move towards the 2.10 resistance-turned-support level could be in the works. I've taken the initiative to initiate a short position based on this outlook.(see image below)

While the potential for a more substantial correction can't be dismissed, I'm particularly keen to observe how price behaves at the crucial 2.10 level. This resembles a situation we encountered at 2.05 earlier, where after an initial breakout towards 2.10 (for a detailed breakdown, refer to my previous post from about a month ago), a subsequent retracement occurred, finding firm support at 2.05.(see image below)

Should we begin to notice the establishment of a support structure on the lower timeframes (4-hour and 1-hour) in the vicinity of 2.10, akin to what transpired around 2.05, it sets the stage for a potential new bullish leg, targeting the 2.175 region that marked the high during the rapid rally of 2020.

For a more pronounced correction to materialize, my criteria involve a decisive momentum break beneath the 2.10 level, followed by a weekly close below this threshold. Should these conditions be met, my sights are set on 2.05 or potentially lower.

Currently, a short-term SELL trade has been triggered at 2.125. My initial target stands at 2.10, with a pivotal breakeven point at 2.116. At this juncture, I'll close 50% of the position and adjust the stop loss to match the entry price.

The trajectory of a deeper correction or the potential onset of the next bullish phase hinges on how price responds in the vicinity of 2.10.


Hope you enjoyed the read

Comment:

First intial trade got stopped out at -80 pips I am now waiting for a signal only on the 12hr or Daily charts, we could see the move all the way up to the 2.175 from here before turning.