Current trend
The British pound is trading with the uptrend against the US currency during the morning session, updating local highs from March 4.
Eurozone countries found themselves in a vulnerable position due to the developing crisis around Ukraine. The European authorities are preparing a new package of sanctions against the Russian economy, which may include significant restrictions or even a complete embargo on energy imports. This will lead to explosive inflation in commodity markets and call into question the ability to ensure energy security. Undoubtedly, high oil and gas prices will have an extremely negative impact on the UK economy, but London today is much less dependent on imports from the Russian Federation, and therefore joined the embargo initiated by the United States earlier.
The pound is also supported by a rather active position of the Bank of England. Last week, the British regulator raised the rate by 25 basis points for the third time in a row to 0.75%. In turn, the US Federal Reserve, which launched a rate hike cycle last week, is gradually tightening its rhetoric, while the stance of the European Central Bank (ECB) remains neutral for now. In addition, the UK recorded an increase in key financial indicators ahead of the publication of data on the Consumer Price Index. It is expected that in annual terms, the figure will be 5.9%, which is much higher than the previous value of 5.5%. Positive dynamics could become a catalyst for the Bank of England and possibly provoke another increase in interest rates. Also the Retail Price Index and the Budget Report will be published during the day.
Support and resistance
On the D1 chart, Bollinger Bands are gradually reversing to the ascending plane. The price range is expanding; however, it fails to catch the "bullish" activity of the day before. MACD grows, preserving a stable buy signal (located above the signal line). Stochastic, having approached its highs is reversing into a horizontal plane, indicating the overbought GBP in the ultra-short term.
Resistance levels: 1.3300, 1.3350, 1.3435, 1.3500.
Support levels: 1.3250, 1.3200, 1.3100, 1.3050.
The British pound is trading with the uptrend against the US currency during the morning session, updating local highs from March 4.
Eurozone countries found themselves in a vulnerable position due to the developing crisis around Ukraine. The European authorities are preparing a new package of sanctions against the Russian economy, which may include significant restrictions or even a complete embargo on energy imports. This will lead to explosive inflation in commodity markets and call into question the ability to ensure energy security. Undoubtedly, high oil and gas prices will have an extremely negative impact on the UK economy, but London today is much less dependent on imports from the Russian Federation, and therefore joined the embargo initiated by the United States earlier.
The pound is also supported by a rather active position of the Bank of England. Last week, the British regulator raised the rate by 25 basis points for the third time in a row to 0.75%. In turn, the US Federal Reserve, which launched a rate hike cycle last week, is gradually tightening its rhetoric, while the stance of the European Central Bank (ECB) remains neutral for now. In addition, the UK recorded an increase in key financial indicators ahead of the publication of data on the Consumer Price Index. It is expected that in annual terms, the figure will be 5.9%, which is much higher than the previous value of 5.5%. Positive dynamics could become a catalyst for the Bank of England and possibly provoke another increase in interest rates. Also the Retail Price Index and the Budget Report will be published during the day.
Support and resistance
On the D1 chart, Bollinger Bands are gradually reversing to the ascending plane. The price range is expanding; however, it fails to catch the "bullish" activity of the day before. MACD grows, preserving a stable buy signal (located above the signal line). Stochastic, having approached its highs is reversing into a horizontal plane, indicating the overbought GBP in the ultra-short term.
Resistance levels: 1.3300, 1.3350, 1.3435, 1.3500.
Support levels: 1.3250, 1.3200, 1.3100, 1.3050.