GBP/USD Long Term (HTF) Setup and Trade Plan + short term plays

Time Frame:
- Weekly & Daily for analysis
- 4 Hour for execution

Trend: Currently in a LTF uptrend (pullback) within a HTF downtrend
- Weekly = Down
- Daily = Up

My hypothesis for this pair (orange price prediction) is for this daily pullback to continue in order to sweep further liquidity from the larger (green) trend that had been in control since mid-2021 with 4 strong resistance touches. This more recent blue trend line that defended price and brought us out of the green trend is still in control with it’s third support touch.

I expect price to mitigate former supply zones in the range of 1.35 to 1.375 and using that liquidity to make a large move downward toward a strong unmitigated demand zone at 1.14 and ultimately to a prior large liquidity grab at 1.03.

This is a longer term trade however there will be shorter term opportunities within that I plan to take such as:
Short term downside: I will highlight this trade opportunity in a different post – there is a strong head and shoulders pattern forming on the daily chart and this could give us the necessary liquidity to break out of this blue trend line – at least toward the most recent unmitigated demand zone at 1.244. (Red price prediction)
Short term upside: If the H&S does not follow through and is invalidated by a sharp move upward, I will take a long position toward the most recent Higher High expecting either a bounce off strong resistance or bullish momentum toward our ultimate HTF supply zone

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