The_STA

BOE will it be 50 or 75bps?

Short
FX:GBPUSD   British Pound / U.S. Dollar
It’s a tough call. If it delivers 75bps, this will be the first 75bps in over 30 years! With the Monetary Policy report also due the Pound is set for a volatile session.

Should the BOE deliver the anticipated 75bps it will show commitment to fighting the high inflation rate but risk the recession deepening, the more cautious anticipate a 50bps raise.

The pound is already struggling ahead of the announcement and appears to have already peaked ahead of the 1.1760 July low (recent October high has been 1.1645). Nearby supports are 1.1060, the 21st October low, 1.0923, 12th October low then 1.0538 the 28th September low. We also have a weak sell signal on the DMI to add to Sterling’s woes.

While capped by 1.1760, Sterling looks set to struggle.

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