DerekD_

$GD - The market's 8 ball

DerekD_ Updated   
NYSE:GD   General Dynamics Corporation
I've been a way too bearish in general to keep up with any ticker in particular that'd give a different perspective on an individual sector / under-performers / out-performers. The setup as is - is more-or-less what every other equity looks like to me right before a pretty deep continuation downward follows. A few months back, when I realized the divergence between the financial sector & the S&P, I noticed the real distinct correlation to 2015-2016 some of the under-performers had; meanwhile the S&P continued making new highs on market rotation, but I kept it in mind. If you haven't noticed the amount of stats Bloomberg mentions in relation to stocks back in 2015 - i.e. "S&P having worst 3 weeks since Aug 2015 (10/22/2018)" - it's something to consider. Back in 2015 we were in the same exact position (almost); there was the emerging market debt crisis, worries about "China slowing down", & the dollar surging + oil plummeting. But some people forget that it's not the rising dollar that spreads EM contagion - it's the rising interest rates. Rates have continued to increase but $DXY has yet to come even close to its 2016-2017 high. I'm getting a little off topic but - $GD is one in a handful of equities that DIDN'T commit to the same downfall the entire market did back in 2015. Not even close, actually. Check back on the chart to 2015/2016 where rectangle marks same pattern as where we're at now. I think if there's something to be majorly worried about in the upcoming weeks - you should keep this one in mind. If it didn't break the 3.5 year WMA support back then, but it does now - we should be pretty worried. I'll stay neutral, for now at least.
Trade closed: target reached:
Well, time to get worried I guess.

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.