timwest
Long

GM Forecast for 10% rally

BATS:GM   GENERAL MTRS CO
629 17 4
The decline in GM             shares from the peak in Feb over $27.50 to its low in July under $19 is over and the stock has found a base valuation at the $19.50-$20.00 level. I note the resistance at the $22 to $23 level and that is why I would expect to see several sharp reactions from that price level before surmounting that price.

Note the downtrend channel has been violated.
Note that volume disappeared when the stock fell to a new low.
Note the resistance zone overhead which will create supply from "break-even" sellers at that level.
Note that this can be a great trading stock for the next 5-6 weeks.
Note support in the double-blue boxes underneath the current price.
Fundamentally, GM             is cheap relative to sales, earnings, cash flow, and the clear negative is weakness in Europe and the US Gov't's ownership position in GM             shares.

Keep in mind that basing happened first in Crude Oil             and then Oil             Service stocks and now that crude oil             has rallied a bit, it may put a slight headwind on the overall market for the next 3-6 months. Search for "OIH Base" here at Tradingview.

Cheers.

Tim West 1:50PM EST, August 15, 2012
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timwest PRO
4 years ago
I hope someone else made a move on GM shares after seeing this chart from yesterday. Cheers. Tim
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charttrader PRO timwest
4 years ago
I did! That was awesome.
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timwest PRO
4 years ago
Nice reaction off the $22 resistance level I highlighted. With support at $21-$20.50, the risk is equal to the reward at $21.22 last, but at $20.70 the downside is $0.20 and the upside is $1.30 for more than a 6:1 trade. Either way you look at entering GM, this is panning out nicely, especially if you exited at $22 on the first purchase near $20 for nearly a 10% gain in 2 days.
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charttrader PRO timwest
4 years ago
Thank you for the update.
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timwest PRO
4 years ago
My comments from 11 days ago to buy GM on the pullback from $22 to $21 are working out very nicely! These gains are worth taking. Unexpectedly good news out of China, coupled with a highly negative sentiment environment (note the spike up in VIX chart that I pointed out several days ago), can lead to rapid price gains like we are seeing today. This is a good time to sell and wait for better trades to set up. Tim 2:18PM Friday
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