IanColeman

Gold looking for volatility over the CPI figures

Long
CAPITALCOM:GOLD   Gold
DXY - although the intraday chart posted a bearish Bat formation, and we have seen mild selling pressure, immediate signals are hard to interpret. We are between a support barrier at 101.78-101.65 and a strong resistance level at 102.57.
The 4-hour chart highlights an Expanding Wedge formation which has a bias to break to the downside. With the trend of higher lows at 101.66 being close to our support barrier (101.65), this zone is also considered a formidable barrier. There is ample scope for a move in either direction while inside this pattern.
Gold - the daily chart highlights the commodity moving lower within the BC leg of a large Bat formation. A common retracement level is the 88.6% Fibonacci retracement of the last rally. This barrier/target is located at $1,904.
Looking at the intraday chart, price action has formed a bullish Ending Wedge pattern. On a break of the trend of lower highs at $1,926, the measured move target is $1972.
However, with bespoke support of $1,946 located close to the previous swing high of $1,947, the rally could stall. We could then form a bullish reverse Head and Shoulders pattern.
Conclusion: the long-term bias for Gold is bullish. We have various possible scenarios. It is unclear if the inflation data will take the commodity down to the 88.6% pullback level of $1,904 or if an aggressive data result will see a clear breakout of the wedge formation and a rally to $1,946.

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.