Blue_Line_Futures

Copper on the Verge of a Break-Out!

COMEX_DL:HG1!   Copper Futures
Copper futures have experienced a noteworthy trajectory, influenced by various market factors. The bottoming of 30-year bonds in late October, resulting in lower yields, has coincided with a rally in copper prices. Interest rates play a pivotal role, acting as a major headwind to construction spending and financed projects, thereby augmenting demand for copper.

A significant driver for the copper market has been China's industrial production figures for October, surpassing expectations with a 4.6% increase compared to the anticipated 4.4%. This positive data has added conviction to the strength of the copper market. Traders are eagerly anticipating the release of the next Chinese Industrial Production numbers on December 14th for further insights.

Headwinds for Copper:

The upcoming week presents challenges for risk assets, and the interest rate environment, as various job-related data such as ADP Nonfarm, Avg Hourly Earnings, Unit Labor Costs, and the Unemployment rate are scheduled for release. The evolving credit cycle poses potential benefits for commodities, with copper serving as an indicator for the economic landscape.

Support & Resistance Levels to Watch:

To witness sustained strength in copper, market participants are keenly watching for a break and close above the critical level of 3.92-3.96. Should we gain traction above this level, the psychologically significant 4.00 level looms as the next significant hurdle. The intricacies of copper futures reflect the intricate dance between economic indicators, global production figures, and the evolving credit cycle, and will continue to be a closely watched commodity in the new year.

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