Range of NAZ, will need to break out of lower channel. O/N continues to be the stabilizer and Propster for the Drop of the Open Session. Long in O/N and Short the Open, same old story. U Turn in jeopardy and will need some drama/news to help the follow through.
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Tuesday was a 4 way day that generated 600 or so points. I believe that tomorrow may be a 1 way 400 point plus day. most likely lower. O/N may or may not prop the NAZ up some, the Open will move (most likely lower) in 1 way.
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Slow lift and quick drops, triple top and Fake Lift near close that stalled. Stoch will cycle down, next. 10950 is KL to watch, O/N will try and lift by Open, the Open move may be the next move lower. Next move will be a decent 1 way, either way. The Open continues to sell off 1st or during 1st 30M.
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O/N magic, NAZ can't get through Diag TL all day, until the O/N. May run up top target.
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FYI and not kidding. Below is the IDS25 with 30 seconds candle time period. Yellow, buy/sell. That is how slow the NAZ is moving.
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The box is the zone, break out will move. 10915 appears to be the support or U Turn zone.
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NAZ usually does not move higher than O/N high until after the Open 1st 30M. 10995 is double TLX and a break below should drop.
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Under TLX
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Box bottom for a bounce.
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The O/N pump makes it difficult to switch gears to the Short side after the O/N prop. Need to look to switch gears on the dime as the Prop usually gets sold off. This is mentioned in my TTZ Post.
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Watch the stalls, every time the NAZ drops 50 points.
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Major KL's for the day/week.
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Long signal at 10980, break is drop to 915. Open should do that or 1 way up is in progress.
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Long may try for 11070. 11012 is good entry for Long. The 40 point drop is typical prior to lift. Short near 11070 on stall or no pass. 10995 retest and bounce would be next sign or confirmation on Long.
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11012 drop to 980 may have been stop clean out for Long to 50-70. 50 retry likely by Open.
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No pop and another Pump Dump is likely being played out. Mid Box.
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11012 cleaned out stops twice and is back, may pop through and seems to be the plan to 50-70.
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W on IDS50
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TLX Held and at Box Top, any stall will fall back.
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Short play likely at stall or pull back
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Should be 1 way up, reason may be as stops cleaned out for long play, may get more. They would look to take higher prior to dumping. Just a thought, choppy micro PPA is hard to figure out.
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30M, Orange is Diag backdoor TL, sneaky and keep on eye on.
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Stall at 11050 for 2nd time is the Short start for now. So NAZ will need to pass and if not look at Diag TL as path. O/N PA is not to be taken seriously, at all.
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Back to GE 11012, must hold and bounce passed 50. Back after 1st30M
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Under Back Door TL, The stall near top should of been your short.
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Scalp 50-80 point moves, NAZ will need to pass O/N high, may today
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No new range, NAZ may stay in Range and bounce around.
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Watch TL
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No pass at high and play 915 Short. Fed Minutes later, FYI.
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100 point range of weakness, 1 way lower may show up.
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Only way to trade this is with Trade at KL's pointing in a direction, SL and Take Profit
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915 is KEY Level to watch, may see a Nasty drop here and go 1 way to the dungeon, back later
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915 to 855 may be busy today. NAZ may retest the 855 area before taking off.
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Most likely lift to Bottom 1st30M and near Fed minutes a Drop/Retest to low. Should NAZ not get above 915 by Close, we go lower in following days. I would sell rallies as opposed to dip buying.
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951 retest, may drop back under after stall or a few. Still a micro move day, may see bigger later. Why does the O/N keep propping up the NAZ and the Open Selloff? There may be something that is on the way as the Open is/are the larger firms with larger volume. Not sure Long is the play here or until we hit new low. NAZ still under Diag TL, I will be back near close. Weak pops and stall outs would be something to watch for if you are Long.
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Looking good for Longs, NAZ will or may have a Pull Back test under 995. This lift up just seems a bit to convenient for me. I am controlling my Angry Trades. Just feel that a Sledge Hammer is going to show up.
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U Turn Zone is still active, Pretty vertical prior to Fed Minutes. Sorry missed the pop.
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11340 is doable with dead zone magic and still time to hop on. Your call.
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Thought with what vertical move was. Most likely it was a Prop helper or U Turn starter for the next U Turn, since we are near the Danger Zone Edge. If the vertical move was a bullish move based on real PA or strength, it would of kept going and not paused. Next move from here will be a go one, not sure on direction, thinking lower. This appears to be just another offset of some sort.
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Today could be one big stop clean out, then Long. The vertical lift would usually run like a train, that is the odd thing.
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Today is about 300-400 of movement, look for another 200 or so.
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Starting make sense, IDS50 Short developing. See the Vertical PA, usually not real and falls apart. You can only see with range charts and not candles or time based. Thing is, are we going over Danger Zone Cliff? That could be scary. We have hit 915 5-7times and the odds it does not hold, eventually. NAZ will need a huge lift here.
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TLX 10995 is both Strong Long and Short zone, depends on which direction from here, wait for move and retest before placing a trade.
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NAZ in near Mid of 1st30M, other gage is break of Top or Bottom. spent much time Mid of Day Range, Mid of 1st30M, about as indecisive as it gets. This is really a true no trade Zone until confirmation and retest with this weak PA. Do not rush it today.
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Last note regarding today. When the only lifts come in O/N and or Dead Zone try to be somewhat cautious or expect a counter move in Close or next day Open Drive. Just patterns to watch, this lift looks very convincing though.
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Usually when the blueish line is above price and yellow line, craziness breaks loose. Eventually a stalled long into Short trade. Rarely will you see this.
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NAZ has played the range and still under O/N high, will need to pass and stay above.
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They tried, can't blame them. Watch 915
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Waiting for sledge hammer in final hour.
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Back under TL
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No sledge yet, NAZ still in range
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Sledge in final 10M under 995
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Nobody wants the NAZ under 915, what a fight.
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915 holding, break and 858
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Edge trade off 915
Trade closed: target reached:
O/N will prop
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Hard to believe that 915 held again. This will be retested and fail.
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Narrow day, yellow arrow was the key
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Thursday, Out today NAZ back at the Cliff. In Mid of 8 day Range.
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Thursday Dead Zone Scalp is Long at 10840 to 10925
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Needs to pass 877, Trail it.
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NAZ has had forever to go lower, way lower and has not. Get ready for a huge bounce, today or tomorrow. Over the 915 cliff and not dropping. Still in the range and will not drop with any serious conviction.
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NAZ flipped at 10840 to buy side, retest pop or drop
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Atop at 10840 on Long, this is just boring and will wait for next move. Nobody is buying or selling. Expect an explosion soon, not sure on direction, the build up is intense.
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Stop at 10840
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NAZ may retest Cliff 905-915, above that is yellow line 928. Should NAZ get above 928 it may try for 11060 which is Mid Channel of previous trend. The sloow drop dose not match with a big bad Bear. Should the lift happen and stall or get rejected, then we may see come speed.
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Take Profit and reload.
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NAZ under 10880 may drop, Strong Short may play out at rejection near 10925.
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10820 pop may have been a Short Stop clean out. This makes the institutions sellers. Confusing and backwards to what you see. Yo Yo whipsaw is the reaction.
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Circles are Turn Signals, arrow is next test for move.
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Vertical fake move, may work. On stall will fall.
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Notice the reaction to left yellow vertical
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May see some move up, stall and drop to lows.
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Yesterday Close took you north of 915 and today may take you south. You get all twisted around and this is how it works. O/N props it up and the Open sells it off. Who is on 1st? I don't know. Anyway, the NAZ has gone nowhere since Open Drive once again. With all that you may see a 300 point rally in Final 5 minutes. Crazy and nobody knows anything at all. KL's and pick a direction with a stop.
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Circle is Fake move into the Wick, Long Trap for now or Short set up. Under 10840 is not good.
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Day Structure below yesterday low. Needs some magic dust, don't worry the O/N has that.
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Close on low.
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O/N Prop is on, 10890 is pivot.