O/N making it look real. Going with Drop/Pop into Gov't issued news. Any drop in Overnight does not show up when the Open session opens up. O/N riggers can take the night off as their partner will step in, just in time. BTD and use wide stops. After the pop and just before the Open, close your long as the Open Session will selloff. Drop/Pop Long set up. Lets see how this goes. FYI, all the institutions that just bought, do you think they will step into an immediate loss? Most likely not. This is a 3 way play, short, long & short. Just going with patterns: when open is lower the O/N goes higher. When O/N is lower the Open goes higher (tomorrow we have Gov't issued news). The idea is that if the Open Session opens higher, then it has more room to drop without really having as much damage.
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Arrow on IDS50, not time based but will show path.
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Daily, MA's are yellow lines with NAZ on Thick White TL and needs to stay above. Below Fib and 11900 look short. NAZ needs to stay in upper half of Channel.
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Price action continues to look strained with up vs down.
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The struggling price action with the upward direction is odd. I just do not think that smart money will buy in 2 days ago only to give it back. Just thinking the give back may need more time. So going with Pop and slow drop. The slow drop is coming from the Slow lift up after the sharp moves lower. Net effect is slow drop.
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NAZ sitting exactly in the middle of yesterday range. Since no bullish sign at all since Wednesday, expect a pre open knee jerk rig pop and then potential drop. This is the only way the NAZ has climbed since 1200 points ago.
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Purple lines are 1st 30M of yesterday. Fan lines suggest 12080 as break out to up, if NAZ gets there? Then 136 is target.
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1st move Short is underway, KL's
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11775 retest is likely
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840 rejection so back to 775, range for now.
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Stay short under Circle. Big Money will try and keep NAZ below. Barrier for now.
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NAZ well under White TL
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For Bulls/Longs, usually a lower O/N leads to a run up in Open. Idea for Long trade, needs to hold after open.
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2nd attempt at Barrier, may see a few of these prior to next move.
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NAZ just gave back 50% from Wednesday rally.
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10YN yield is up and Dollar is Up, not good.
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2% O/N drop is huge, we have not seen many this year.
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under 932 look short at no pass
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840 ish and under is strong short.
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battle at Bottom of barrier, could pop here.
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840 bounced, next attempt may be key or few attempts. No Long just yet.
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Push pull on Long side is holding back the Long trade. Just feel the bottom will fall out on any lift. Stop at 11920 staying short for now, back latter.
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Stopped, notice 930 KL is stalling. Next move will come from level. Mentioned staying short under, earlier. Noise Box is back in comment section, stick with your plan and block.
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If you notice past 2 days, the lifts creep up and then get whacked, quickly. I feel this will lead to a major drop and do not favor 2nd Long trade just yet. Back later.
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11930 is 10 MA, FYI and is why it is stalling.
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840 retest is likely
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MOP Zone
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Now 915 and under is test.
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Strange NAZ is dropping on high ticks.
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Dead Zone Friday lift, expected. Still not feeling the conviction. Deep drop may be after the lock in of buyers.
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This is why I am so critical about blocking the noise and following a plan. Earlier I called 840 Retest, NAZ got to 880 and lifted up as fake or clean out. The better Short would of been to Short after 880 hold and lift to 978. Knowing that 840 needs to be retested, the stall during the Dead Zone at 978 is ideal for the 840 try. We are back at 930 and still looking at 840. Tay with the bigger plan and know the trading time zone (TTZ). It really does not matter if you are wrong or right with trading the NAZ as long as you take trades to and from KL's. This is where the noise can get you flipped to the wrong side of the trade. Both are correct but 1 is bigger picture.
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Lifts continue to get whacked, must faster than lift.
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NAZ has to battle through Top 1st 30m and 930, 100MA. If it does, we have a Long and if not 840.
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Just watch the head fake here if you go long. May take up some the whack, been pattern.
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Moving up but not flying. May wait for retest.
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Tough sell zone.
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Sell orders in fraction of lift time with same distance, again.
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Retested, needs to hold.
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Moving too slow for me. Looking long
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This is a new one, algo buying. Straight up
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Similar have been followed by a drop.
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No support under lift, ??
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Seriously, I know I am bad and all but I have never seen this
Trade closed manually:
11968 KL ? Will be interesting with how this shakes out Sunday
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Making sense now. The run up makes you afraid to Short. Rigged. All good, got the Short and missed the Long. NAZ well under EOD target, looking bad for long side next week. Games on Sunday and into Monday.
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Final 5 may get wicked to the down side.
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Real question is why the prop? What is on the way? There is always a motive.
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Back at TL
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This is for those that see/understand the bigger picture. "We don't know what we don't know, many times you search for more or in addition too". My pre open calls are a guide and the real game is in the chart below (in addition too). The KL's do help with targets, these are not an indicator and the rest is up to you. I see more than I get or can type, every single day. Like I have said, most days it does not matter which direction you think the NAZ is moving. The chart below is my IDS20 Shorts only (985 points), I did not call or get 985 but saw about 700 points slip through my hands. You can double that if you added the Longs back up. Or, you could of taken the Long side for about 500 zig zagging back up. If you did not catch 500 - 2000 points on Friday then you have room for improvement. This is similar EVERYDAY and is what I am really trying the capture. I trade 3 contracts as minimum, do the math. Noise and distractions have a huge price tag, understand that the most. It is impossible to trade, type trades and watch the NAZ at the same time. You can see where I am going and why I will be moving to a Live feed, automated call program. As you can see my Intraday type posts are rare on TV and zero are looking/offering calls like the chart below. After I make the move, I will keep my profile open and post from time to time.
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12-5 IDS10 with KL's watch 11912. Bounce Zone 950-910, 100MA. IDS10 I never use, that is how weak the Price Action is, what is needed just to scalp. Should NAZ stay in upper half of channel, should break to test upper KL's. PA is as dart/choppy as I have seen, Needs to break 78-80 for test.
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Popping, 12033 seems mid test. Good Luck today, just thought I would help on a scalp. More points in scalps than the Runners, scalpers execute trades. Just harder to do lately with typing, posting and explaining. Use IDS 10-20 in this environment.
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See the Fake spike, 12006 1st then 12033, trail it since it broke channel.
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NAZ trading like currency. Any move has a counter move in equal or very similar distance. 11970 Long to 12000, Typical 30 point take profit or trail out. NAZ will go back to entry (short trade or reverse from TOP) hold and back up after hold. Just follow, you can see the points, just no time to type, needs to be live. This will go on all day long with a blast here and there around Key times such as Open, EU close and Open Close. Again, last trade did not matter which direction you took, the NAZ will supply points either way. Notice how NAZ is moving around KL's. These will help with next target. Just expect counter moves, this is where the fun is and turns everything around as you play the game.
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All scalps happen with circle (signals), IDS20 above. 11912 is likely since 12000 No Pass and 12033 No Hit.
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IDS is for set ups and quick trades. Use when in quick PA moves. IDS will only work if used correctly. Reason for time issue currently with PA. The previous long would of worked for both trades for Long to KL1 and short for failure. You need to have used IDS 20-50 for the understanding. Review previous posts.
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KL 912 Long with stop at 912, good for the scalp. Hold as may try higher KL.
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998 is target for short stall or KL68 is stall and retest 912. see the flow.
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I went Long at KL 912 with ADD Long as it drops with profit covering Stop Loss. 68 pass looking for to 98
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Scalping is not for all and need to act quick. Reason I can't type and have to go to live feed, have a great day.
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Yellow Arrow Danger Zone #5 and KL
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Mentioned earlier, EU Close. NAZ will make a move then. Dead Zone usually lifts up.
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Use KL's, Again my view is from the Scalp side during low volume or Holiday sessions. NAZ will go nowhere and generate 100's of points. IDS 20 is good on days like today. This is why the post forecast can correct and still miss the majority of points. TV needs a live feed service, let them know.
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Quick darts lowers are continuing, day 4. Now we know why Friday strange lift near close may have happened. Strange thing is these can lead to a bounce.
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10YN Yield Up and Dollar Up, look Short for now.
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Short test
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11870, Need to see a Dart lower or this may go up.
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Working one of these
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Dart so far, may hold and snap at low.
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Slow Dart, may POP. Need to let range play out. This is the opposite of Friday Close. Friday was Slow Dart Up. These are new moves.
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If you review past many days, Playing Trades at KL's in opposite direction has been reliable. Drop expect bounce at lower KL. At Mid KL Now on IDS 50
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NAZ took lower arrow. Back to KL 97 to 811, 840 or 773 bounce on 97 dop. 740 is DZ.
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Bounce off the Danger Zone
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Double Bottom, Prop in O/N
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811 & 840 Hit after 97 pass. Careful on Long as there is no support and NAZ may drop to 97 to recycle. Long is OK, just may drop retest and go back up.
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Example of no support Long
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Last Friday I mention that 840 would need to be retested, and look were we are. Yellow circle is area, white arrow is Fake Prop run I did not take (I should have). White arrow yesterday close is Danger Zone Bounce, Yellow is O/N no support Long call and 2 retests since.
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The U Turn call is when the NAZ gets near the cliff/edge of serious sell orders below. Then (by way of Govt issued news) the NAZ will blast UP and AWAY from the DZ (in minutes). Left circle is U Turn 3, right 4. Five is most likely on the way. NAZ hit 745 yesterday, previous DZ target was 430. Since Blast the NAZ has done nothing. You see the Long Term Channel above, that is the target of any U Turn. Play 12100 to 11500 as range, I am out this week and will post bigger picture. Scalp with IDS or I would suggest that you follow another Author. Scalp trading is a very different language. I would love for one of you to post longs/shorts (Scalps) with targets and all I have to do is follow and not think. Please, I will pay and tell all my friends/family. Let me know if you exist.
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For those that Scalp with IDS, put it on 5. Yeh 5, that is how weak the PA is.
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Use Combo 5/35 to watch/see false moves.
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Drop/Pop set up. Needs to pass 655
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Long at 11611, 30 stop.
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Move stop to 11600
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11611 retest.
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Stopped -11, reload on hold.
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Interesting, Edge and Danger Zone trade developing.
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Stop clean out appears to be weakening. Trail up.
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Dollar and 10YN yield are dropping. 655 id KL.
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Should fire off 620
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655 pass 11738 next.
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The up then lower should switch gears today. Now at 11590
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11536 is lower support, NAZ needs to pass 623. Long is developing, here at 11595.
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POC at 555, looking for bounce and stop below. DZ U turn is still in play, this is how it has played in past.
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POC Hold, Needs to pass 11573, then may try for 11658.
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Big drop in 1st hour then Non Local traders tried to push NAZ lower. DZ U Turn should play out on this light volume.
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Buy above 550 or add, scalp Long on stalls.
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Back to POC and stop. May bounce off 516 and try for 573
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11625 is target above 516.
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Needs to pass 773
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DB, Long did develop just lower than suggested.
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Scalp trades on way back up. 11435 is in play in O/N or tomorrow on drop.
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White arrow is DZ U Turn #5 and Yellow is no U Turn. I just find it hard to believe that the only way up is with Fed Reports and such. O/N limit down way be in the works. Hs to be the flush out that is needed. Most selling is Open Only.
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From KL 430, next move is white or yellow arrow.
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Watch KL 430, tide may have turned some. May retest at Open.
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65 drop pop at Open, watch the stall.
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Drop back Now.
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Needs to pass 523
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Retest Rocket developing Needs to pass 523
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NAZ likely will test higher prior to next Drop, or drop pop. Either way Long Scalps are plays for now.
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DZ U Turn #5 ?
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NAZ looking like White arrow, 1st test.
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Trying for 65 Drop Pop. Mentioned earlier.
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NAZ went up for a Long Scalp, Dropped to 65 to clean out stops that chased the Long and will now most likely go back up.
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Gone for day, tricky day but look at all points that have been generated so far.
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DB IDS20, think we see slow chase lift here once the strange movement ends, Watch Ticks.
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Movement may be MOP Clean Up.
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Looks like Mop Up is over/slowing, Careful I am out for balance.
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Terrible day for PA, big move coming.
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Thought I would pass along KL's for tomorrow.
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IDS27, NAZ Looking Long
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Scalper paradise. If you are using IDS, match up color change red to white or white to red with Bars and Stoch below at a KL and let it run. TV needs a live feed as these are too fast to type and trade.
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NAZ needs to pass 11558 and will try for 11625. May retest 11480
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NAZ trying to pass KL 11535, all white with indicator and recent drop activity seems to get bought. O/N prop off earlier drop may help change direction.
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NAZ stooped at Pivot and Channel Top, Needs to pass.
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11480 retest for Long, mentioned earlier
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Should Grind Higher, DZ U Turn #5.
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Tracking KL's
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11625 needs to hold on PB's. This may drop to Top 1st 30M as test.
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11670 KL may be it on Lift.
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Watch the level, Gone for the day.
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Bounce off Top 1st 30M retest, MOP Channel.
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Wicks on 1HR, Playing it Long from KL's on drops has been easier the past 2 days. Strong Short under 11580-60.
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Drops are giving Buyers the Shares to take higher (from stops / sellers), every time. Short when this breaks.
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11625 is KL, hold and NAZ will fly up to try 11671.
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Do Not trade in Mid Mop.
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Leaving now, above 11625 NAZ should run into O/N and into tomorrow. No push pull today, Ticks look good. 11620 and below have bought quickly, not a prop job from what I see. Trail the Long.
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Here it is, from 11625, trail it.
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Above 11625 is Key. Dow backed off. Scalp trades worked well from Long side.
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Trend change, may be temporary lift. Open drives continue to be best trades.
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NQ1 is up, contract change is off.
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NQH below with KL's. Big mess, NQ1 is off and you will need to change contracts/charts on 12/16. Bellow is M23 with KL's. Box is Danger Zone, Yellows are KL's, White Lines are TLX's and Red's are the range of play until break out. Placing trades at any KL in opposite direction has been reliable. Good luck and expect some lift, you have noticed that any lift will drop test. This will give you 2 opportunities on the Long Scalp.
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NQH 11785, Long above and Short below, expect a retest.
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Narrow O/N range, expect a blast here. Blast up will come back and retest, blast lower will most likely be bought above DZ. I am Flat at this time from Long run.
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IDS20, NQH. Should try for 11785, MOP in purple. Scalp Mop and range, Long or Short trades.
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Mid MOP Long, look for at Open.
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Mid Mop to 11785 Hit, twice.
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Short Under 11785 may play for deep drop should NAZ not pass.
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Only way to trade this is with double or triple contracts on KL to KL trades and Close. More reliable than Hanging.
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I will have a Live Feed program soon, I would suggest that you look at that when ready.
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This lift now may be a Head fake drop to 11785.
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Needs to hit and 825 retest 785 for good long.
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I am Flat at 11800. Needs to pass 825
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11825 is Low buyer zone, watch the fake out. It is a Friday, Long with Trail if you are in.
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The other play could be a Short Stop clean out here on stall.
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Look out here.
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11760 is O/N prop start, stepping away. May see Big move lower under 760.
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Low Neg Ticks and NAZ will not drop? Not sure what to do here, Hold on Long, although may see strange rally so shorting is off for now as Ticks go positive and this will fly up.
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NAZ holding at yesterday high.
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Head Fake Short may be played here above 11785. Needs to pass O/N prop of 760 on Short. NQH, strange PA. Still Flat. Short play just seems too easy, nothing is easy with Riggers on a Friday. Watch the NAZ on super low Neg Ticks.
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Top 1st 30M test, may see Pop on hold.
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Above MOP, likely a Long Play.
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Retest 750 is key.
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Just saw the low ticks and retest.
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Back up. Trapped inexperienced traders will clean out stops, short coveing should follow on lift.
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50 to 85 1st scalp.
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85 to 25 2nd. No 85 wait for hold above 50.
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Contract management, 1st scalp double or triple and 2nd, normal.
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2nd set up above 46
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Low Ticks.
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2nd Scalp 46 to 80
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3rd long at 85 hold to 25
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Again, use multiple contracts in sweet spot.
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Large traders will be loading up on drop to pass 85. They have points to play with.
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Above top 1st 30m Now is key.
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Quick moves usually set up best trades. Does not matter on daily forecast, why I do not use for now.
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Slow roll to next move. 2PM will tell. Longs may bail.
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Looking up by EOD. no drop is key below 760.
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No reason to trade this. Sideways is unpredictable.
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I just fell asleep, not kidding.
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NAZ should be motoring lower here.
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It just will not. Strange, go LONG. Prop usually follows. Lets see. Longs just move quicker and is why I have been playing them.
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Bounce off 30 or big drop.
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Going Long 5 at 11715. Stop below Mid MOP.
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Will hold for Prop play.
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Long zone is Mid MOP.
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Previous Edge/DZ moves, Looking for another.
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Friday Long Scalps with IDS20/50 and 1 HR combo. Like I have said, it does not matter which way you think the NAZ is going as long as you ride that wave. The recent run/drop and retesting intraday PA is providing many scalp trades. Hard work and will require focus and executions. IDS50 is the larger picture and 20 is the trade set up from circles. Line up Stoch 20 bottom to Stoch top. The IDS50 above lines is trend. The challenge is switching gears after Long scalps to Shorting for the EOD drop, this I missed but called it earlier in the day. Now I am going with Long back up with Prop/U Turn play. Longs scalps did provide more points then OED drop and will be cushion for Stop on Long should that happen.