NAZ has been in channel and not gaining ground, may see Curve Ball (yellow arrow). BTD's & FOMO play is white arrow (Fast Ball). Head Fake is Slider and will stay under Fib Level or recent high. O/N high will most likely be high of day and Open Session usually sells it off and keeps it under, Fast Ball NAZ will need to stick around after the Open Drive. Yesterday rally was in the Dead Zone and did NOT take out recent high. Rally looked good, just looked good. Do not care which way tomorrow, just that this is "Major Trick Zone" so beware.
Note: For those that follow, after 3 years and nearly 500 Daily TV Post's, I will be ending the Daily Forecast & Intraday free service. I am moving to a private service that will use TradingView Charts, including my IDS Indicators. Message me if you have interest. I will continue some usual post's through the end of January or so, until new program is ready. Thanks for following and all your support.
Note: For those that follow, after 3 years and nearly 500 Daily TV Post's, I will be ending the Daily Forecast & Intraday free service. I am moving to a private service that will use TradingView Charts, including my IDS Indicators. Message me if you have interest. I will continue some usual post's through the end of January or so, until new program is ready. Thanks for following and all your support.
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Tracking the yellow arrow. I mentioned 11840 as support yesterday, NAZ should retest, a stay under is Strong Short. Just seems like the NAZ belongs in the 11700 area and not 12000, one of my "air pocket" calls. I have seen these run higher prior to popping. Major recent one was the 11/10, 800 point AP. 4HR below looks more like an M. If you look this pop up is 3rd to level, a stall here would be a good spot to bail and protect profit. Just waiting on 11840 retest, NAZ did hit 3 times since the close and may be done, so Fast Ball may be next. Usually, the Open Drive will retest O/N Price Action as O/N PA is usually rigged and fake. To be clear, just laying out potential moves and not attached to either. Use the info and trade your way. My "Fortune Teller" powers say that the recent rally will drop big by month end. Old joke regarding FT Powers.
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Many new "Followers", Welcome. Other's have asked about Key Levels "KL's". Basic, just take the high and low of 1st 30 Minutes and draw center line in middle projecting to the right. You will see testing and retesting of various levels going back 5 days or so. We just bounce off 11939 Top of 1st 30 M from few days ago. You can make a living just scalping 20-30 point moves while most wait on the next 'Runner". Your vision into moves within the moves is where the you can go. Not for all, too hard to explain. You just have to be a doer and not a talker on this one. Reason why I am expanding platform from TV. New follower's, you may want to look at TTZ Post "trading Time Zones". This will help with inside games of various sessions. O/N, Pre Open, Open Drive, Dead Zone and Close (TTZ's).
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IDS20 from yesterday Open to current. Bounce off Long Call Target, all good. Now add up KL moves (test/retests) and peak values (in Boxes), hits off white/yellow lines, more opportunity. The "runner" was expected and called, what do you do when you get a slop day, like Tuesday? That day had just as many points. Anyway, every move has a counter move. Expand your vision and skill's is my point. Not for all and most will not understand the math.
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So far, Slider to Curve Ball is the idea. You may see the ETF's that buy in the O/N unloading here. May get the 840 retest. Still below Tuesday after hour high. 12031 is a pivot and the O/N machines may try for, prior to drop. Slow PA is just not my style, may just wait until it starts to really move. Slow PA does not usually coincide with real strength and is why I am cautious. Usually Grind Snails along and just drops out of nowhere. I guess you could Long Trail if you just can't wait.
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KL Opposite Direction Scalp Short.
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11884 is target should NAZ not take out high. Scalp the Snail PA in the Range until drop.
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BTD/FOMO's, all aboard.
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11925 is next gear, should it happen.
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Sideways until next leg, may need to Scalp range should NAZ not fall. Back later.
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Push Pull is back, may see serious moves during DZ. This is where you have to be quick, Runner not likely but many direction changes. Stall reverse, stall revere is what we will see.
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11947 was near top 1st 30m of a prior day, bounce now looking for next target between 947 and Top. Spaghetti confusing and side noise is your challenge here. Just watch lowers/highers or highers/lowers
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Mentioned, just play the range for now. It really does not matter if you miss a move, every move has a counter. Now the BTD's and FOMO's feel good and that is what we want. Ying Yang, Yang Ying type day so far. The noise will build during Dead Zone until the NAZ hits a wall, I am thinking we are near the wall. But that does not matter, when you think about it. What matters is riding points and not staying at your screen.
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Here you can see the potential curve back to 619, this will depend on Dead Zone strength or mood. No break lower would be a good Long.
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Slider, Needs to pass Yellow dash POC Weekly
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Thick Dash, Testing Bottom of 1st 30m.
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Off Thick Dash was Long to Bottom 1st30M
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Strong Short under Dash after retest from under.
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Now back trough 1st 30M, Open drive. No lift will fall today. Dead Zone garbage. Look mid Range for stall/reverse.
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Notice how NAZ is under O/N high, so usual and almost always the case. Another Open Session sell off. No lift today and lower we go. Back Later.
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Slow PA and sideways. This is were this 3rd attempt/failure may see some selling by EOD.
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Key run here, Cleaning out stops prior to drop may play out should NAZ stall out, Long Trail. Mentioned up/down and direction changes. This is what confuses traders.
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Mid Range here at 12000
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May try and take out Thick Dash. Waiting on Ticks, again.
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12010 is yesterday high.
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Waiting on BTD's and FOMO's to push higher or not then should drop. Trail Long until.
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4 100 point plus moves since Short. See the math and NAZ has gone nowhere.
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Still under O/N high, 12024. The Open Session needs to pass and by far in order to take it serious. Why is it stagnate if such a bull? And at this particular level?
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Next thing is, if Shorts are coming in they will put stops just above. May see pop up, clean out and drop. Long Until next pop up failure.
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Trail below, if stopped get ready to reload Short. Tricky slow PA is horrible, you need to get points prior to the BS.
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Back later, Ticks are dropping here.
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Games. IDS50/20 View
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Yellow arrow is usually prior to big move.
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Just hit me, the Long side is too easy as compared to Shorting. Major eye opener past few days. One of the books I mentioned covers this. The switching of bias can be nearly impossible. IDS20 can help, White verticals are Long and Yellows are Short. I use to want to Short the Lifts after being Short and would get in too early. KL to KL until break out and opposite direction at KL no pass. If this is you, just work on the Long side as the Long BTD/FOMO trader usually struggles the other way. So if you can short, you can easily go long.
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Still under day high, just watch for NAZ dropping past/under thick orange TL. What the hell, stay long with everybody and their brother until. Wow, NAZ to the Moon and I can Short it at the Moon.
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Interested to know who thinks NAZ gets to 12200 or 12300? Trying to get on understanding of the easy trade mentality (after a heavy short session). After all, this is what/who supports the Long Trade.
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Anyway, my stop is close behind as I really do not have full buy in.
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If there was ever a recent opportunity to drop this thing, I would think now or very soon. Just the dark side view. We shall see.
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Shorting 5 at 12050, have 200 points to play with.
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Just can't help it. Lets see if I get stopped.
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Stop at 12150, No target on drop, just letting it run. Edge Trade, Hit or miss.
Trade closed manually:
These closes are so boring, just trying to spark something. Day was 400 points x 5 contract's and risking 100 points x 5 contracts. Only reason for the Edge Trade, I do these when profit and when I am anticipating snap Curve ball in final minutes or so. Will hold until Stopped or decent drop.
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NAZ may retest 11950 before next move higher. Under 12070, it may not get back above. That was the idea with Edge Trade. Just need to get past the O/N Rigger pop that usually happens, although these have been pretty weak.
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Push Pull PA seems to be humans or institutions and 1 way must be Algo's or machines. You can see the switch at 10:30 CT. Short still trough the Algo's, may work out. The Push Pull has been showing up and during most of 2022, these where the Bearish day's I have seen. May see something soon, as I have been noticing it lately.
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Books
The Market Markers Matrix, Christopher
The Mental Game of Trading, Tendler
The Market Markers Matrix, Christopher
The Mental Game of Trading, Tendler
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Early on Short, again. Yellow is signal.
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If you are suing IDS20, wait 50 points after your gut feeling goes green. Usually the stop limit that is about how high we keep above Good Entry point. It is like they know it, clean it out and move it.
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Anyway, KL 12070 is decent spot for a Short if you trade the O/N. Should this not drop, it may go higher from here, FYI.
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KL update, notice the price action above and below grey line.
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Big move follow up from earlier, IDS50 left.