Today feels like a surprise Long, NAZ may Drop near 16125 50 level for bounce to try and get through 16240 TL. Yellow TL (16160) is your guide, Long above and look Short below. Should NAZ break yesterday low (16080) look for 15980 as target/support. Mid Level is 16180 from Overnight / KL Upper 16215 / KL Lower 16182
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Support at 16170, Long at 16170 and above with SL at 60. Quick low risk trade. place at hour change if NAZ is above 70. If not Look for same at 16150 with SL at 40. Not looking Short just yet. Thinking 16220 is 1st target of day, then we start major moves.
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Long trade should be good as slight PB at Retails sales did not hot 70 or Stop. Should see Prop prior to Open and 16220 1st 16240 2nd and 16280 3rd. 3 Legs.
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NAZ will need to pass Upper KL.
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Not sure what dip was, look to stay long. May be Stop cleaning. If your took profit at 16200 level, good for you.
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NAZ may drop to 16160 50 and Bounce back up. Not seeing Short 1st.
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Strong Long above 16193
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10YN is at Low and may Pop or Drop, this will influence the NAZ next move. I favor the Long side 1st.
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Overnight has gone Coast to Coast on Range, I have not seen this in awhile. Expect decent move off open is opposite direction (up). Tight range could produce a decent move, hopefully up.
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Trail up, These markets are just spring loaded. You need to expect dips and drop prior to pops and reverse on downside.
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PB to 27 and Strong Short under.
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PB to 27 and now Upper KL.
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Look for KL bounce and failure is Short to Lower KL.
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NAZ may be getting ready to rollover today or tomorrow.
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16260 is another example of Drop & Pop. Short on failure to pass 60. Range 16227 to 16260, for now.
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16160 is likely. Load up Short under 16150.
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In order for NAZ to get higher, it may drop to 16200 again.
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Today failure to stay above 16240 is great sign of Short for next day or so.
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Move to 60 could be Head Fake Long, careful here.
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Spring loaded off drop to 00. This may be last push for NAZ, not seeing why such a big bounce here.
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3rd Leg complete, if short is to develop, it would happen after 3rd or 4th Leg.
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Reliable, Red bars above 2 middle and lower White are Long Trades. Like I said, hard to follow and is challenging. News did break on Debt Ceiling, could be the push.
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Typical day, when everybody is Bearish the NAZ will clean them out. We are only 20 points above yesterday high, see the Drop & Pop. Now we will expect the Pop & Drop to follow. Most likely tomorrow or so (could even see it today).
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For the brave, you can layer Shorts back to 16250 as target 1.
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16277 is yesterday high, look for NAZ to hit and drop through for safe short. The NAZ come down, just when. PB's will be needed for either move up/down.
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FYI, Long Trigger Yellow Arrow:
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77 take profit on 1 short.
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Stepping away. Hard to believe but we may see heavy selling by EOD. Short top of 30M candles with close Stops, watch period change price action to confirm direction. If you are Long bias, buy at bottom of candle.
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Example: 11:30 CT short under or near 16305 with stop at 16308. Looking to get stopped out or NAZ to pass prior 30M low. Keep firing these and watch Ticks for guidance. Numbers game and Stops are couple tick hits if you play it correct. Lower lows and lower highs and reverse for Long bias.
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10YN is at Low, may Drop through and bring NAZ down. This could be why the NAZ got Propped to begin with. Or 10YN bounces and the NAZ goes into hyper speed.
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Shorting at 16300, 50 points stop
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Adding Short at 16315, 16325. Keeping stop at 16350. Do not follow one of my higher risk counter trades. Just a gut indicator.
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Guide, today 4 30M up is equal to yesterdays 9 down on distance, NAZ still bullish and fighting drop days. Taking off 2 shorts above.
Trade closed: target reached:
Stepping away until close. Will keep Short, it will most likely get hit as the lift keep going. The 1 direction NAZ continues. Once you get the direction correct, stay with it. I keep trying to make price action more interesting (like prior Fed days). Low VIX, Dip Buyers and Indexing is making things boring. When the 2 & 3 ways intraday returns, the available points double and triple. Maybe we see a drop near/at close, just for some excitement.
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Holding Short to 16240 test.