With the recent price action I have shifted from daily to weekly forecast. Yellow Arrow is Range, failure at yellow circle is strong short. White Arrow is Long and support at white circle is strong long. White dash is mid channel and Fib Level. Thick blue TL's and thick white TL's create a TLX at 12,000 & 11,000. The recent drop is 1,050 points and may see a bounce prior to next/further drop. Will update as we go.
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The net 2 weeks may see more movement in the O/N then Open Session, play daily pivots.
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O/N play, NAZ above 11365 or 70 should try for 11435 1st. NAZ may retest 11365 1st. Drop below pivot 11365 may try for 11250. Watch 1st move head fakes in O/n, very common. Back in the morning.
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Needs to pass TL
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IDS15 Scalping Longs as long as PB's stay above previous yellow arrow.
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Mid Range should run up 1st.
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Crude up 2%
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Drop to bottom yellow arrow 11230 for bounce.
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11230 seems to be support.
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11255 test should be next
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255 pass, then 288
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Rejected at 255, 16 should hold.
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Scalp either way today
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NAZ tested and supported by Diag TL, Danger Zone bottom and KL 11119. Came within 40 points from 11000, Strong Long Rec. Look for retest and Hold after Open. Again, Scalp either way as the NAZ works through the DZ for next big move. Still going with move up prior to larger move lower.
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Scalp, above 11151 should try for 211
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11211 pass will test 11255, bottom of yesterday 1st 30m and pass may see further move higher. If the O/N was ever going to go limit lower this Bear, it would of been last night. Look long today.
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11211 near hit, NAZ is only strong inside the range of play and can not break out.
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11211 Hit
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No break out yet, take profit at targets.
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11151 is long above and short below.
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11255 will see some selling.
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Dead Zone, stepping away until Close.
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Current Drop to 11120 is a buy and is the Long trade of the week, should go back up and change momentum, needs to pass 11151
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11120 Trade passed 151 and hit 211, range is 151 to 211
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11211 pass
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11228 2nd stop, Range 112280 to 11178, strong Short under 11178
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EOD target is 11150 - 30 should NAZ not PASS 11211 and stay above. Every trade runs and then retraces back near entry.
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Program trading to KL's, Pass or stop is next direction.
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Testing Short, Needs to stay under 11178
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If you use IDS20, above Yellow Line trade to upper target and below to lower.
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NAZ here at 11185, needs to pass 11190 for Long.
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Day Candle, NAZ flat after drop and buying, bounced off KL 11080 and may try to get back in channel above. Not sure what to expect with O/N, maybe a Prop up? We are due. Since NAZ held today, I would think we may see a Prop lift attempt in O/N or Open tomorrow, most likely Dead Zone after Open Drop.
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O/N Prop is on, Passed 211 and at 255. Do Not Short until near Open. Fedex and Nike results will get milked all night. Earlier Buy Call at 11120, this what I was mentioning and will run for a few days.
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11170 is the stop and go long, I doubt we see a drop that low.
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Lets see if this plays out. NAZ at bottom 1st 30M of Monday, drop Gap Fill and hit Top 1st30M of Today, Pop back up to Upper Pivot.
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Above, assuming no pass at 255 or this could happen at Open Drop. Not suggesting Shorting NAZ now, Just watch the flow as Gap will need to be filled.
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Got within 20 points of bounce target, not all gap was filled. Bounce today.
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Gap Filled
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Here we go
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IDS15 KL's for today
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IDS15 Long Set Up. These usually run, place stop below if taking. This would be add to 11190 or new.
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11120 Buy Trade path, 11180 would be Stop Level. Needs to pass 255 now.
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FOMO, may retest 255 or top 1st 30M, 273
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FOMO
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11340 may see selling.
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Pull Back to 11300 is likely.
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With low volume, PB may develop into a deeper drop and pass 11300
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7 Points from Upper Target, Take profit and watch Ticks in Dead Zone.
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Upper Target just got hit. Strong Short under 273, stepping out. Long with a trail if you are in. FYI, I use multiple contracts in sweet spot of any move, that is why I bail early. Example, a 100 point run in a sweet spot is 200 - 300 with 2 to 3 contracts. Dead Zone and the Close trades I try to avoid.
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Stalling NAZ is a Falling NAZ, this is why I bail in DZ. Quick 40 point drop and will confuse most and then most likely pop back up, or not. That is the issue with the DZ.
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11355 is level to pass, look short for pullbacks here. Short from 355 lower, long toward on any hold.
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Just tried a couple scalps in Dead Zone, impossible. Like night and day vs Open Drive. Ticks are steady Negative, watch any Long Trades for until steady positive.
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Better now
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11300 Pull Back, mentioned and Long Back up after Ticks changed. KL to KL until break.
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11340 is Mid MOP, watch for a head fake Long.
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Potential Short under 11365 or decent PB.
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Long above
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Tricky watch the ticks.
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Weak close
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11340 is a TL
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Every lift is being sold, bounce off KL 311
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After bell passed 340 and will get propped in O/N
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Range for tomorrow. Mid MOP by Friday (Red Dash above).
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11374 Stop may see this, set up for a Long if so.
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Long set up needs to hold, then 2nd arrow
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11275 is KL to watch for reverse
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Major KL Changes, 11350 and 11168 an add. NAZ in the DZ and had a major stall in O/N prior to this drop. Expect games next 2 days.
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From 11310, may see Long to 3440-50 from test and drop on stall.
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Should 350 fail, short to 275 or 250
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Diag TL, a NAZ nightmare
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Just noticed that we have some Gov't issued news in next hour or so. Could be Long Rocket boost into Santa Rally? We will see, off session, news release and such is the only way the NAZ can move higher (90% of the time).
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11239 looks like MAZ drop
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If you have profit and want to risk some, you can start buying into the drop with the idea it will get Prop Pop on news release. Use a stop and play it Long. Idea would be back into channel above 11400 range. Seems like test above prior to next big move lower.
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NAZ held at MAX Drop 11239, at Long set up Target.
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10995 is Long on Hold.
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Drop test back to bottom 1st 30M and pass back to TL.
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Algos just taking lower, not sure ending and no counters longs so far.
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KL's below
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984 on long near low
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11050 on lift, Good Game day. Needs to pass 990
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NAZ is at weekly Long Target, may Pop or Tomorow.
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This type of move is possible.
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Got to TL's, let NAZ retest lower hold and Long should work out. Short to Zone.
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NAZ needs to pass 11040. Long trade near bottom did hit 11050. Diag TL Short went further than anticipated (Nightmare for the NAZ 100% of time).
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Much support, expect Bounce
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I mentioned 10984 as Long spot, NAZ dropped below and is now 80 points above 984. This is one of those Good Entry spots that are obvious, sometimes the riggers just take the NAZ lower and then bring it back and above. This did happen today. The Long at Low was based on the fact that this did happen and 984 is a good spot for a Long. Watch the level as support or just go Long above with 984 as Stop, until stall out.
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Back in morning. Stall out, Short to 984 and pass, stay short. Hold Long back up.
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Double top 11074 IDS50, 11092 is test for Long side. Look short at no Pass of either.
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O/N NAZ stayed in range of above 984 and did test 11092. Up 200 points from yesterday low, half of the selling concerns of yesterday seem to have gone away since the low or near close. Again, may test 11030, hold should Pop until stall and then fall or just float up. 11030 break and 984 hit and break, look short.
The week and KL Chart 1HR. This week has been a game of KL to KL, yesterday looked bad because the days have been relatively narrow. Just keep in mind that we will most likely see 1 or 2 more U turns in prior to a deeper drop. This is the U turn zone and they may sneak it in at the last minute. O/N Futures continue to lift drop days, are these Pump and Dump's or stabilization?
The week and KL Chart 1HR. This week has been a game of KL to KL, yesterday looked bad because the days have been relatively narrow. Just keep in mind that we will most likely see 1 or 2 more U turns in prior to a deeper drop. This is the U turn zone and they may sneak it in at the last minute. O/N Futures continue to lift drop days, are these Pump and Dump's or stabilization?
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IDS15, Range for News and Open
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Yellow Circles are U Turn set ups, lets see if yesterday wick lights it up
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After news knee jerk, the O/N range established by Open usually is the range and NAZ may play inside. Open rarely moves outside or blasts up or lower from range in Dead Zone.
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984 test and Hold, trades at KL's in opposite direction are 75% of my trades
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If you are following me and the system, you have to focus and trade in and out. KL to KL and take profit or you will get hurt. I need a live feed service as you are getting half the info lately. NAZ is generating hundreds of points everyday if you can see them. The runners are a smaller portion of what is available.
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Range is now set and NAZ is in MId, the games begin.
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FYI, Midrange prior to Open is the worst spot for putting on a trade. Try and trade on the edge's of KL's.
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Yep, Diag TL. Watch this
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11060 and above is Long side
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Needs to retest from above and hold in order to go long.
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May need to see a 10875 Double Bottom Pop in order to get buyers onboard. Again, play both directions or pick 1.
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NAZ looking Long above 10930
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Squeeze here will shoot in a direction strong. Thinking up, use a stop.
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Squeeze Pop U Turn Blast, NAZ retesting 930
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11048 is 1st test from 930
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Here come the Robots
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11060 and Diag TL are rocket Zone, mentioned 11060 earlier and you see the dip, clean out then bounce back, this is the game that is played.
Trade closed manually:
Trail the Long from 930, odds are it melts up. I am out and have a great Holiday.
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You can see that the Peanut Gallery Pro is back in the comments section. I believe that you all do understand that the Forecast is a guide and not a guarantee. The opportunity is intraday with the trades and movement. Block the Noise and follow the calls, documented and pretty Solid during past few light volume days. The Pro should start his own Post and show us the MONEY and shut the F up. One in every crowd. And on a Holiday week/period, just an unhappy individual. If you do not like my calls, just do not follow and stay away.
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The Diag TL Squeeze of Price usually makes the price shoot up and long as it holds. This is not over on upside and may be a late reaction (mentioned earlier) Dead Zone Pop. Or Not, scalps have been made (you should have) to lock in profit. I choose the trail as I am stepping out. Any real experienced trader would see this and understand.
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Just getting back and would of been a much better Scalp day then trail Long day. The chart will show Blue Box Values, Look for higher lows and higher highs for Long Scalps. Reverse for Shorts. Place Take Profit/Stops at Box's. Hard work, takes focus and is pure trading. Not for all but worth a look.
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This is Long into the Close, crazy but it works.
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That trade would be a load of 3-5 contracts with stop directly behind.
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Yellow Circle is max run an trade, short may develop or take profit.
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5 contracts at 20 points is 100 points or $2,000 for 5 minutes. Review the idea over the long weekend, I will be providing more on this in 2023 through a live feed service.
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This is a guide and not a guarantee of actual events that will actually happen. Some followers seem to not understand this concept or method. If you have questions or do not understand this concept, please unfollow and move on to other TV Author's.
Trade closed manually
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Friday 930 Trade, IDS15 and how to stay in the trend