I propose yu very simple trend-indication - stoch . Look at the chart - and yu will understand everything.
The only thing yu might match - I cant predict the levels of the future moving. But this is not very important to my mind.
After all it may still work. We must wait for 2-3 hours - out of market - if yu feal danger.
Now we'll see how it moves donw. If strong down - the model still works. We shall rich day-low or lower - today or tomorrow, then.