OKTA
In light of rising cloud services and cybersecurity demands, Okta Inc. (OKTA) has reported robust revenue growth in its recent financial statements. Despite the apparent growth, pressures and anticipations in the market have recently weighed on the company's stock.
Over the past 12 months, OKTA has reported an earnings per share (EPS) of -4.29 USD, despite a revenue per share of 12.15 USD. This suggests that while the company is currently experiencing losses, the positive operating cash flow per share of 1.22 USD and a free cash flow per share of 1.10 USD highlight a healthy cash reserve post-operations and investments.
However, OKTA’s high Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of -16.74, Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio of 5.94, and Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 2.09 suggest an elevated market valuation. On a positive note, OKTA’s Price-to-Operating-Cash-Flow (P/OCF) ratio of 59.00 and Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow (P/FCF) ratio of 65.81 demonstrate the company's robust cash generation capacity.
In terms of ESG ratings, OKTA scores moderately across environmental, social, and governance dimensions, with an overall ESG score of 59.
Despite surpassing revenue and earnings expectations in Q1 and an upward revision of the full-year sales growth forecast from 16-17% to 17-18%, the company's stock fell 15% over the past week, triggered by the CEO's warning and market pressures. This may be due to an overly optimistic market expectation not met by the strong, yet insufficient financial report.
However, in the long run, demand for OKTA's identity management services and cybersecurity products remain strong. With the company progressively overcoming efficiency challenges impacting profits, improved performance can be anticipated. Therefore, while the stock may fluctuate in the short term, long-term investors may see the realization of its potential.
In conclusion, despite current short-term market pressures, OKTA shows a strong growth potential fundamentally. When considering investing, investors should take into account the company's financial condition, market performance, and future growth expectations.
Technical Analysis:
From the daily chart, the overall trend remains within a steady upward channel. We should pay close attention to the 61.8% Fibonacci support level. If the price gets support on the daily chart, the rebound force can break through the resistance level at 90, allowing us to continue holding. However, if the short-term price breaks through the channel support, the market might continue to bear pressure. The current price support is critical. The RSI indicator suggests a higher likelihood of rebound, but the MACD shows an ongoing bearish crossover signal with increasing selling volume. If you have already held positions, you can monitor the support situation around $70 in the short term. If you haven't entered the market, wait for a clear channel support signal before entering.