ReactReflect

PDD in healthy consolidation, two scenarios going forward

Long
NASDAQ:PDD   PDD Holdings Inc.
PDD has been consolidating since the earning jump. The consolidation is very healthy in that: 1. price is tightening, a ascending triangle and a bullish flag is emerging on the chart; 2. Volumes patterns give me high confidence, up on strong volume while down days are often in low volume.

Going forward, there are two key levels to watch:
1. $145, which has been a resistance twice. Also note that the controlling volume after earning is right at 145.
2. $116, this is the top before the gap. There is a chance that the gap may be filled if the market corrects. In addition, PDD's price strength is weakening as can be seen in the MACD and MFI at the bottom of the chart.

Keeping the two levels in mind, I see two scenarios:
1. We keep consolidating for more weeks, and then breakout the 145 resistance. If this happens, I'd not be surprised by a double digit run.
2. The price weakness exacerbates and PDD does a cup, attempting to fill the gap, and then rebound and resume the bull trend.

I think the two scenarios are equally likely, although I'd prefer to see the second, because it gives us a fimer base to work with. Also the gap gives us a hint on the potential bottom of the cup so we may get a better entry point.

Best luck investing!
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