AndyTheKing

PLS/AUD - Bounce off key level & trend break

Long
AndyTheKing Updated   
ASX:PLS   PILBARA MINERALS LIMITED
After identifying an early break of bearish trend last week, I decided to give Pilbara Minerals Ltd (ASX:PLS) a week to see how it would perform. And what a strong week it was! Finishing #3 (+9.7%) out of the Top200 (imgur.com/vY7PYzT) was a strong statement from the bulls. PLS has been on a long, slow bleed since December '17 but it's now looking more attractive to astute swing traders and investors looking to add to their positions.

My reasoning:

  • Location: Reload zone
  • Structure: Double bottom off the 786
  • Divergence: Confirmed div in histogram, willy and RSI
  • Weekly gap above, between 0.655 - 0.685 (marked by green lines)
  • Trend: Break of bearish trend commencing July '18

Areas of concern:

  • VPVR gap below is nasty. Filling that void would result in ~53% drop from current prices.
  • While we have seen some strong moves from buyers, the weekly OBV is still under its 13EMA.
  • Unsure whether to classify the gap @ 0.215 as filled as we only had a partial candle close therein.

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Comment:
Monthly chart for the HTF view:
Comment:
My ideal setup would be a retest of the green box, forming a lower high.
Comment:
Comment:
Correction, higher low* ;-)
Comment:
Resistance at the marked point as predicted. Will the bulls push it further or will we retrace into the green box? I'd prefer the latter so I can get a cleaner entry :-)

Comment:
Green box hit! Let's see if we can form some support here.


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