Kanon8260
Short

Look for history patterns, the mother of all bubbles

NASDAQ:QQQ   INVESCO QQQ TRUST UNIT SER 1
im not a permabear or someone that try to predict something, but my thesis is simple ,In april 2000 occur the same thing market recover from april to august market recover, then on september first nasdaq started to fall to october 2002. look all similarities history tend to repeat itself because times are different but human emotions are the same thats why in all market history bubbles occurs since the tulip 1637, just imagine how reality was back then that 1 tulip worth a house, right now we have company that are worth trillions, is amazing how all this is created with borrowed money. when this bubble burst, it will last 1-2 years not 3 months bear market. just think we are you in the cycle. nobody is long term this crazy market. i expect nasdaq will have a bear market that will last 1-2 years. carefull to all long term trades, that algos fall 6 x more faster than rising, the thing is when we had tax cut im not seeing companys spending in real economy, just look at production and consumption ,and investment, these could be "Bullshit" GDP, And probably the highest of the year, just look what happen with intel and MMM , Is just prof that this is a irrational market that is just hedge funds shorting vix aggressively and buying every single drop , because they know this is the last time to be long, they want to drag the market up, until they no long cant, and everything start to fall, the biggest mistake is not greed, is market speculation and manipulation, futures gaps, buying every dip of every single company not even the bad ones. but people think that vix is a good indicator of risk, is not, the thing with the vix is one everyone is short the vix is one something happen and we have like feb event explosion. thats exactly how is gonna happen is not gonna drop slowly and pacefully, because this market had 2 corrections in last 2 years, the 3 one going to be the one that last. be prepare just saying, GL To all.

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