NAK1987

How to buy high and sell higher (applies to many stocks)

Education
NASDAQ:RIOT   RIOT BLOCKCHAIN INC
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12
After I started understanding and recognizing this pattern it has helped me to change my "buy low sell high" logic many of us have embedded into our habits. Buy low sell high is great but what about when we miss the initial move(s) ?? I have come to find that that does not always mean you are necessarily "missing out" ..

First of all, there should be a catalyst when see these big moves up in stocks and that's smart to identify. RIOT has had a catalyst in the form of it's margins and earnings growth as a result of bitcoin's rising value and as a result has entered a period of exponential growth. In my opinion, the best time to buy after a big move up like this is NOT the dip.

This is because if we are buying the initial dip going into staging area, we then have no confirmation of uptrend continuation (it is entirely possible for stock to plummet into distribution). It's also because after a dip there is going to be lots of buyers who entered at the prior high, many of which are trading with no game plan that will be watching their losses increase ready and happy to get out as soon as their losing position is at or near a break even price.

Many of these "dumb money" buyers who entered at the top will sell at/near their cost as the stock recovers from the dip and thus provide overhead supply which will push the price back down. Not to mention there will also be the buyers of the dip who may also be selling then too . The process will probably repeat multiple times before the next move up too , but with smaller moves up and down . Also , at some point the catalyst that is helping the stock move up will subside and the stock will eventually enter a distribution cycle .


To summarize , in my opinion, the best time to buy this kind of event is at the end of the basing periods just as the stock gives us a confirmation of uptrend by moving up with volume . Notice the volume reduces throughout this staging/basing period as the supply reduces and the weak holders are reduced . The volume is not always as evident as this particular chart and sometimes there will be more moves up and down as the stock contracts but as you may agree , the goal is not to buy low and sell high with this pattern .
It is to buy high and sell higher.

You can of-course buy the dip but at that point you don't have a confirmation that the stock wants to keep going up so you are reducing your possibility of success. In any case , don't omit your stop loss and respect a healthy risk/reward ratio .

To be clear , this is not just for RIOT, this is an entry method that can apply to many stocks ....



Good luck ~

Comments

Hi

over what period of time do you think your strategy works?
day month minute?

Thanks
M
+1 Reply
NAK1987 marcbroc
@marcbroc, Actually, lots of really successful investors utilize the similar methods so I wouldn't say its "my" strategy even Jesse Livermore had this down, this is something I have learned from researching. Its also similar to a cup and handle pattern too .

“I become a buyer as soon as a stock makes a new high on its movement, after having had a normal reaction.”
-Jesse Livermore

I find that daily and weekly are both good .
You want to use this on stocks that are making big runs followed by staging periods , Tesla's chat does the same :)
+1 Reply
marcbroc NAK1987
@NAK1987, Hi, Thanks for taking the time to reply.. I appreciate it..
Reply
NAK1987 marcbroc
@marcbroc, You bet , thanks for your question . Have a great day , good luck out there ~
Reply
Thanks! You have a great way of opening eyes. Spent a couple hours reading your stuff... 👍
Reply
NAK1987 WhateverGuy
@WhateverGuy, Thank you ~ Very cool :)
Reply
NAK1987 NAK1987
@NAK1987, As a side note , check out CELH , similar stock and I just longed it, I am slightly early though may want to wait for a break of the $71 level ;) Thanks again for your kind words , really appreciate that .
Reply
Great explanation for trend following momentum strategy. Cheers.
Reply
NAK1987 HeWhoMustNotBeNamed
@HeWhoMustNotBeNamed, Thanks :) Glad you enjoyed
Reply
I feel like RIOT moves like TSLA what you think?
Reply
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