positivemind88
Long

China to overtake US?

TVC:SHCOMP   Shanghai Composite Index
I believe China''s economy will overtake the US in the near future. The demand from China is going to be much greater from the effects of Chinese currency overtaking the dollar. Meaning people in China will feel richer when they see their currency value goes up.

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Its not really a good idea to say that one economy will "overtake" the other. Clearly China's "mainland" economy is growing faster in a lot of ways then the SP500 however, what I noticed is that South China is actually more "conservative" then the rest of China in terms of economics however ... the fact is that "mainland" china is a different type of conservative then the part of China most foreigners are familiar with? What reasons would it help the world if Chinas economy does "better" then all the others? Your graph is very helpful because it looks at the long term over 20+ years. I wonder if we exclude the major "highs" and "lows" of the mainland shanghai index if shanghai would be "more conservative?" THANKS FOR THE HELP. Your graph looks interesting and is very different then the way I studied the Shanghai Index (MAINLAND INDEX?). I also noticed that the MAINLAND seems to "learn" to be more careful which is the reverse of the SP500? While I totally agree that the Chinese economy is very strong.. I disagree on the long term... I think that China is not about "production" its about something to do with the coastal region... its the "far east" of everthing.. in america California is the "far west" and the "far east" is actually even more important then the concept of the "east or west" coast in america... whats strange is that the west coast is very warm and different then the east coast.. I wonder if there is a way to understand what is really going on in China and the "far east".. I love the idea that the far east is a very different idea then the "far west". Hope your doing good! I'm going to be thinking that the economy globally will be good until the fall or the "solstice". Do you have some suggestions on using the MACD? I'm not a big fan of "trading signals" I prefer "natural" measurements based only on VOLUME / EARNINGS and not mixing in too much outside influence when making stock decisions?
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I agree that China's economy is robust, however the shape of the recovery will be in the U shape so I do think the recovery will gradual towards the upside. Not as steep up and with several pullbacks along the way.
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