Technician

Silver: Are We Heading Back to Normal?

COMEX:SI1!   SILVER FUTURES
1126 34 14
Just a simple observation, the price of silver             is hitting 15.00 major level, which was the ceiling for a secular 25-years sideways range. We might find some support here. Breaking 15 might extend the reversal to prices we never expected.

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Rebounds

Have you seen any sign of reversal in lower time frames?
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Technician TOP HamedAghajani
2 years ago
Nothing clear so far
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Technician TOP Technician
2 years ago
I am willing to fight a long term bearish trend, unless i see strong signals
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HamedAghajani PRO Technician
2 years ago
I was trying to check gold/silver ratio. No indication for me
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Technician TOP HamedAghajani
2 years ago
Yeah.. This is more of a mere observation, but lets see if see some bullish candles on $15- support.
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HamedAghajani PRO Technician
2 years ago
If the expected drop in indices occur, is there chance the cash flow directed to Commodities?
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Technician TOP HamedAghajani
2 years ago
Yep, there is a possibility, but it looks like the bubble in equities will continue further
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HamedAghajani PRO Technician
2 years ago
I think the world is mislead-ed by Nikkei. Nikkei is approaching a significant Resistance at 18300.
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Technician TOP HamedAghajani
2 years ago
The world of QE... Yesterday was U.S. , now is Japan, and tomorrow will be Europe, and all makes the bubble bigger, and more devastating...
+1 Reply
HamedAghajani PRO Technician
2 years ago
But at the end you trade based on technical setups.
+1 Reply
Technician TOP HamedAghajani
2 years ago
Yep
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Thought you may like to have a look, on this chart;
$XAU vs $XAG Remains Bullish | #Gold #Silver $GLD #SILV
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HamedAghajani PRO HamedAghajani
2 years ago
$XAU vs $XAG Remains Bullish | #Gold #Silver $GLD #SILV
+1 Reply
Technician TOP HamedAghajani
2 years ago
aha.. ?
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HamedAghajani PRO Technician
2 years ago
This is a Gold/Silver analysis, performed by David Alcindor, which I came across on Trading view. He defined some over head resistance for this pair. Sometime when a ratio comes to a S/R level it is a good indication to check both charts, to see which one is giving more significant sign of reversal
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Technician TOP HamedAghajani
2 years ago
Aha, it gives signs if you already wanted to take a position on one of both, which one to choose.
+1 Reply
alvnngyn Technician
2 years ago
I'm choosing the short side. Capital flows is obviously flowing from foreign markets due to the economic decline going on globally.
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LudmilaHanania alvnngyn
2 years ago
Too late, the smart money was selling all the way from $50, now or soon the accumulation will start, for long term trends that is how the market works Sure it might go a few $ more down, but the the risk reward is not here.
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alvnngyn LudmilaHanania
2 years ago
it's not too late. The USD rally has only began and should last a few quarters. Hell even Oil started to accelerate in it's decline.
+1 Reply
thatguy
2 years ago
2003-2008 trendline needs to be broken for any significant upside here. Something in the range of $10.50ish, the real signal of a bottom will be miners doing the dodo.
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gunne821
2 years ago
What's the best way to play silver, in your opinion, Technician?
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Technician TOP gunne821
2 years ago
At the time being this is just an observation, not long not short now. But if i see signs of bullish rebound of 15, i would look to long for a small pullback.
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gunne821 Technician
2 years ago
I meant the best way for going long, I think it's dirt cheap, and instead of peak oil, I believe we are at peak Silver.
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Technician TOP gunne821
2 years ago
I am more of a trader, i spot trade setups an capitalize on then. But if i have to forecast, I still think the U.S. dollar is in its early stages of a bull market
+2 Reply
Technician TOP Technician
2 years ago
So i would be skeptical buying silver even at current levels
+1 Reply
gunne821 Technician
2 years ago
Ok, cheers, I went short Eur/USD at 1.2503 and just went out af the trade a little while ago at 1.2377...Looking for a wave up a,d then the final blow down to the 1.22 level...
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Technician TOP gunne821
2 years ago
Good luck
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gunne821 Technician
2 years ago
Same to you.
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LudmilaHanania
2 years ago
Sentiments are at extremes now , everyone thinks the $USD will keep going higher and people who were pumping Gold and Silver at $1900 and $50 are all bearish now, you get bearish at $50 not at $15 , I am not talking for a trade, I am talking longer term, the $USD and the stock market will come to a very ugly end. I know you are a trader and your view is for a trade set up, but for safety longer term ill be out of anything $USD related , the country is bankrupt and there is no way out. The NOK which is the most sound among paper currency lost close to 25% of its value against the USD in the last 6 months, give it a year and youll see the 5,50 or lower again. Norway has a surplus and no debt, a country that is growing, interest rates officially at 1.5 and at banks you can earn 2.5%, real estate prices in a steady uptrend, although i live in the US , all my assets are in NOK, Norwegian real estate ,Jerusalem real estate and in Palladium. I trade in and out of anything, but for the future I know I am OK.
+1 Reply
gunne821 LudmilaHanania
2 years ago
Hi Ludmila, I do believe the US markets have gone ballisitc as well, and Norway is a good place to put your money. As for the case of USD against the EUR, I still prefer the greenback above something that should have never existed in the first place ;). I live in Europe and since the introduction of the EUR, everything went downhill. Especially, since 2004 when they expanded way too fast...Now a triple recession coming up...How long can it continue to exist, I start to wonder...
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LudmilaHanania gunne821
2 years ago
Hi gunne821, I agree with you, too bad what they did to Europe and the EUR currency was a bad idea , it is a mess. But the US is my opinion is going downhill too, we have jokers as politicians, actually the whole world is a mess. I know on TV we are discussing technical analysis, but many posters here ignore the long term picture which is not pretty. Sorry if I offended anyone with my opinion, now back to trading !!.
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gunne821 LudmilaHanania
2 years ago
That's why most of us are visiting this site, I guess...to get some trading ideas ;). And yes, I am getting bearish as well...a simple look at the S&P chart gives me the shivers, that angle it is rising since 2009 is frightening, and I think we got a warning a couple of weeks ago...I am off to bed now. Good luck.
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thatguy
2 years ago
Seems to have bounced off ~$15, nice call
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mucahit06
2 years ago
shall XAGUSD be 30 years of cup formation?
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