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Have Chipmakers Already Bottomed?

TVC:SOX   PHLX Semiconductor
Most people know that technology stocks ended 2022 on a weak note. But they may not realize one group started to outperform: chipmakers.

The first pattern on today’s chart of the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index is the falling trendline along the highs of last year. The S&P 500 is currently sitting at similar resistance, but SOX has been above its respective trendline since mid-November.

Notice how it stayed on the upper side of the pattern last month. That may suggest old resistance has become new support.

Next, that bounce occurred at 2449, an old monthly high from October 2020. Again: old resistance, new support?

Finally, chipmakers have shown relative strength as inflation cools and the Chinese economy reopens from its most recent lockdowns. It’s also interesting that yesterday its biggest member, TSM , jumped after reducing capex plans. Management also predicted the chip market will bottom in the first half of this year.

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