Nathan_Black

The bears came! But they are still too weak to my taste.

TVC:SPX   S&P 500 Index
Today’s movement was exactly what I expected from a bear reaction, as I said in my last analysis, in case you missed it, here’s the link:


Now, although it was expected, I admit that I’m a little disappointed with the bear’s reaction here, I mean, they even couldn’t manage to touch the 21 ema today. SPX lost some immediate support, yes, and that’s an alert for those who are long, but that’s it. I overestimated them, but that's ok. Let’s see the hourly chart:


I think we can consider there’s a H&S here, that was triggered through a gap. Now that’s interesting. In the daily chart, the 21 ema is at 2797 right now, and the target for this H&S in the hourly chart is 2792, the same point that served as support in the past, as I evidenced with a black arrow in the chart.

So, the 2790 – 2800 zone is a good candidate for a support. Although I’m a little skeptical here (I really wish I could buy it near the 2640), we should stick to the technique. The bulls and the bears should watch out, and tomorrow we will see how this will work out.

Remember to follow me, I’m a trader who uses the classic technical analysis (barely any indicator, just the candles and the volume). Like this idea if it helped.

Thank you very much.

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