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Can the S&P 500 Turn Higher?

SP:SPX   S&P 500 Index
The S&P 500 is mired in one of its longest negative streaks ever, but now there could be signs of a turn.

The first pattern on today’s chart is the potential hammer candlestick on Friday, May 20. It was a brief probe not only to new 52-week lows, but also the official “bear market” line. Prices refused to stay down, resulting in a potential reversal pattern.

Second is the level around 3877, roughly the lows on Thursday. Prices tested that area yesterday but quickly reversed, which could mean that new support is developing.

Next, the Advance/Decline Line has inched higher since May 11. That improving breadth is a potential non-confirmation of the recent drop.

Finally you have the trendline along the highs of April 21 and May 4. This may create the potential for a breakout and rally. (Consider the moves in early October and mid-March as precedents.) Also notice how the RSI indicator made higher lows and broke out of its own downtrends before both moves.

Traders may want to monitor the activity today, especially with minutes from the last Federal Reserve meeting due at 2 p.m. ET.

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