- Price is attacking lower bound of again.
- Weekly Heikin Ashi candle turns (still need to see today close) and haDelt/SMA3 further down, possibly dips below zero
- daily Heikin Ashi signal has been trying to turn since 2125+ top print, with some hesitation in haDelta. This hesitation may end finally today, as haDelta/SMA3 may drop further below zero line. HA Oscillator has been too.
In last few days the bias was quite obvious, but the Price action was very annoying. It looked like some "interests" tried to keep price high for as long as possible. We don't know what is behind these buyings in this tight range, but price could not move higher... so I can also assume that we see a phase of smart dumping on late and leveraged retail buyers, and companies who still do their share buybacks.
We are very close to a breakdown point, and this mkt fell asleep! I mean there has been complete lack of , which can suddenly change so much, that a 20 points move will look like a bid/offer spread. If we SP500 goes through 2080-2090, we can see a quick and agressive drop to 1980-2000. Still, that would be only -5 % move!
Two more things to note:
- Breath indicators like shares at 52 weeks high, or , Shares above 50 days MA or above 200 day MA, etc. all show there is serious problem within the complex.
- Leverage on margin accounts is at an extreme all time high! Net cash positions at all time low.
This time we have to ask the perma Bulls, not the Bears: "Are you ready for what possibly can happen here? Do you really think there is so much upside left of holding long equity positions from current levels, after one of the longest mkts in history?"
p.s.: My position is built already. I am Short on SP500 and NAS100 . If I smell any blood on the floor, I will do more.