Will it hit my $TGT?

With TGT struggling to find its footing after its May downturn, it's due for good news. The upcoming earnings report might be the catalyst needed to challenge the persistent downward trend. Despite lagging behind AMZN and WMT , TGT is working hard to regain ground it suffered from overstocking issues and inefficient offloading strategies like promotions and sales, logistics updates, and donations. Anticipate news about these strategies, and potential dividend increases to attract new investors.

Bullish Case - TGT, currently range-bound, is trying to incorporate pandemic-related impacts into its pricing. It's at least a $150 stock and should be valued accordingly. The downtrend is a reaction from major investors who want resolution to existing issues and a plan for longevity. They've had plenty of time to address these issues.

Bearish Case - It's a range-bound distribution phase. Note how it's retracted over 50% of its gains from the pandemic low. Typically, continuation is 38%, but it's even surpassed the .618 golden ratio. It would be wise to avoid complications and let sleeping dogs lie. Claiming it would return to pandemic levels is too aggressive, but a price just above $100 should attract stronger supporters for a rebound.

Conclusion - TGT isn't a fan favorite, and understandably so. However, the aggressive pullback is noteworthy, even WMT didn't face this level of pressure. The chart below shows a substantial divergence, presenting an opportunity. At this point, the ball is in TGT's court. How they act in the latter half of the year will determine their fate.

Bullish - 140.27
Bearish - 125.25

Trade active:

I am still watching a have a small position for upside. We will see what happens in the next week or so if TGT can close the gap to WMT.