Pandorra

🔁 Are Trimble Stocks Ready For Rebound To Pre-Inflation Highs

Pandorra Updated   
BATS:TRMB   Trimble Inc.
Trimble is a company that specializes in software for navigation, guidance, and control of equipment for various industries, including construction and agriculture, trades at $54 per share, about 37% below the level seen two years ago in December 2021.

Looking at a slightly longer term, TRMB stock has faced a notable decline of 25% from levels of $65 in early January 2021 to around $50 now, vs. an increase of about 25% for the S&P 500 over this roughly 3-year period. However, the decrease in TRMB stock has been far from consistent. Returns for the stock were 31% in 2021, -42% in 2022, and about 5% in 2023.
In comparison, returns for the SPX have been 27% in 2021, -19% in 2022, and 25% in 2023 - indicating that TRMB underperformed the S&P in 2022 and 2023.

In fact, consistently beating the S&P 500 - equally in good times and in bad - has been quite difficult over recent years for individual stocks.

Given the current uncertain macroeconomic environment with high oil prices that still above its 5 years SMA, and elevated interest rates, lets take a look could TRMB face a similar situation as it did in 2022 and 2023 and underperform the S&P over the next 12 months - or will it see a recovery?

Returning to almost pre-inflation shock high of around $80 means that TRMB stock will have to gain about 50% from here, so potentially that will not materialize anytime in extremely fast mode.
Meanwhile the main technical graph says TRMB stock getting a support around $40 level and breaks out its major 52-weeks SMA resistance first time over the past 5 years. Following this, it can takes the time while potentially TRMB stock is ok to recover the next one pre-inflation $80-85 level.


Trade active:
Jan 10, 2024

Reversal confirmation

Trade active:
Feb 21, 2024

👉 Trimble TRMB stocks up 10 consecutive days in a row, with near 15% YTD performance.
👉 A week ago Trimble beat fourth-quarter expectations with 9% revenue growth and strong recurring revenue.
👉 $800 million worth stock buyback has been announced also.

Trade active:
Feb 22, 2024

👉 Lets compare valuation of Trimble and Nasdaq-100 index.
👉 I feel it can be a 'Moment of Trimble'.

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